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Tensung vs Paro Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Tensung Logo

Tensung

1 - 3
FT
Paro Logo

Paro

Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Namgyel T.
32' Event
Wangchuk P.
40' Event
Baldeh A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Tensung and Paro finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paro.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Tensung
15%
Draws
85%
Paro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Paro come out ahead of Tensung on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Paro's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Paro have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%
Paro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tensung Paro
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 4 26
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 4
Goals Scored 0.97 3.88
Goals Conceded 2.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Paro
1:3
Jul 8, 2026 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
4:0
Aug 22, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Paro
0:1
Apr 27, 2025 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
3:0
Aug 19, 2024 Premier League
Paro vs Tensung
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tensung Compare

Top Goalscorer Wangchuk P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Paro Compare

Top Goalscorer Namgyel T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wangchuk P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.53
Avg xA / game 2.16

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tensung 10 / 100
Paro 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tensung Paro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paro Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Tensung scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Paro has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Tensung VS Paro
1.13 Goals Scored 4.13
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Tensung

(Home)
28 Sept
Tensung
1 : 5
RTC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
20 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
Drukpa
15 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
BFF Academy U19
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
Page 1 of 6

Paro

(Away)
03 Oct
Paro
6 : 0
BFF Academy U19
12 Sept
Transport United
2 : 4
Paro
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
26 Aug
Paro
7 : 0
Tsirang
20 Aug
Paro
1 : 0
RTC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 17 15 1 1 72:12 46
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)