Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tente vs FK Karosta

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Otankis A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with FK Karosta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Tente
15%
Draws
42%
FK Karosta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Tente haven't matched FK Karosta's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Karosta's way, sitting at 50%.
  • FK Karosta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Karosta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Tente Clean Sheet 10%
FK Karosta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tente FK Karosta
Matches Played 7 20
Wins 3 14
Draws 0 0
Losses 4 6
Goals Scored 2 2.85
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.72
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2019 Latvian Cup
Tente vs FK Karosta
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Tente Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

FK Karosta Compare

Top Goalscorer Otankis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.47
Avg xA / game 1.51

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tente 22 / 100
FK Karosta 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tente FK Karosta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Karosta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FK Karosta conceded in 79% of 19 recent games.

FK Karosta lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tente's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Tente VS FK Karosta
2 Goals Scored 2.88
2.57 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 88%
71% Over 2.5 88%
57% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Tente

(Home)
17 Jul
Skanste
4 : 0
Tente
23 Aug
Tente
0 : 2
FK Auda Riga
04 Aug
Tente
4 : 1
Krimulda
29 Jun
AFA Olaine
0 : 3
Tente
25 Jun
Tente
1 : 8
Alberts JDFS
Page 1 of 2

FK Karosta

(Away)
27 Nov
Dinamo Riga
2 : 1
FK Karosta
20 Nov
FK Karosta
4 : 2
Dinamo Riga
17 Jul
Albatroz
5 : 1
FK Karosta
04 Jul
Plavinas
0 : 1
FK Karosta
06 Sept
Grobina
3 : 0
FK Karosta
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene -
TBD -
TBD -
Ghetto / Gvatar -
Nikers -
TBD -
TBD -
Livani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Auda Riga -
Keiko Jekabpils -
TBD -
DSVK Traktors 1
Krimulda 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova -
TBD -
TBD -
Rezekne -
Kalupe 2
AFA Olaine 1
TBD -
New Project -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 3
Riga United 1
TBD -
FK Madona Kvarcs -
Lubana -
TBD -
TBD -
Tente -
FK Alberts -
TBD -
TBD -
Lielupe -
Aliance 1
Talsu NSS / FK Laidze 0
Monarhs 0
LDZ Cargo/DFA 7
Alberts JDFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo Riga -
Albatroz -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Salaspils FK 4
Fk Jurnieks Riga 1
Jurmalas 1
Jauniba / Upesciems 2
Marupe -
TBD -
FK Limbazi 2
Caramba 8
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/32-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene 3
Ghetto / Gvatar 0
Nikers 1
Livani 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 5
FK Auda Riga 1
Keiko Jekabpils 2
Krimulda 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova 4
Rezekne 3
Kalupe 0
New Project 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 8
FK Madona Kvarcs 1
Lubana 2
Tente 6
FK Alberts 2
Lielupe 1
Aliance 1
LDZ Cargo/DFA 2
Alberts JDFS 3
Dinamo Riga 1
Albatroz 1
Grobina 2
Salaspils FK 3
Jauniba / Upesciems 0
Marupe 3
Caramba 5
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/16-finals
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Valmiera -
FK Smiltene 7
Livani 0
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Tukums 2000 9
Krimulda 1
TBD -
Ventspils -
Super Nova 2
New Project 1
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Karosta 1
Tente 0
FK Alberts 0
LDZ Cargo/DFA 6
Alberts JDFS 4
Grobina 2
Salaspils FK 0
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils -
TBD -
TBD -
Spartaks Jurmala -
FK Metta -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
1/8-finals
RFS 2
Valmiera 1
FK Smiltene 0
FK Liepaja 4
Tukums 2000 4
Ventspils 1
Super Nova 0
Riga FC 6
FK Karosta 4
LDZ Cargo/DFA 1
Alberts JDFS 0
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils 1
Spartaks Jurmala 0
FK Metta 0
Jelgava 1
Quarter-finals
RFS 2
FK Liepaja 1
Tukums 2000 0
Riga FC 4
FK Karosta 2
Caramba 1
BFC Daugavpils 1
Jelgava 2
Semi-finals
RFS 3
Riga FC 1
FK Karosta 0
Jelgava 5
Final
RFS 3
Jelgava 2