Sport Picks
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Atlante
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026 Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez 
AI Match Summary
Tepatitlan de Morelos play Atlante in the Liga de Expansion MX 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Tepatitlan de Morelos averaged 1.27 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Atlante averaged 1.79 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Tepatitlan de Morelos won 2, Atlante won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 26, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Tepatitlan de Morelos and 1.06 for Atlante. This points to a Atlante double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Tepatitlan de Morelos picked up more points recently compared to Atlante.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.06 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tepatitlan de Morelos | Atlante |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tepatitlan de Morelos Compare
Atlante Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tepatitlan de Morelos scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Atlante let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Tepatitlan de Morelos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Atlante lost 2 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics