Sport Picks
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Zacatecas Mineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez, Tepatitlán 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Rios Orbe J. L. In: Lopez M.
Out: Rios Orbe J. L.
46'
46'
Sub
Egurrola L. In: Moreno A.
Out: Egurrola L.
58'
58'
Sub
Cano J. In: Mazatan O.
Out: Cano J.
AI Match Summary
Zacatecas Mineros in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zacatecas Mineros.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zacatecas Mineros
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Tepatitlan de Morelos haven't matched Zacatecas Mineros's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Zacatecas Mineros's way, sitting at 70%.
- Regular Liga de Expansion MX form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Tepatitlan de Morelos Clean Sheet 10%
Zacatecas Mineros Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Tepatitlan de Morelos | Zacatecas Mineros |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 2.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Zacatecas Mineros
0:1
May 4, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Zacatecas Mineros
1:1
May 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
1:1
Mar 8, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Zacatecas Mineros
4:0
Sep 27, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Zacatecas Mineros vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Tepatitlan de Morelos Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Zacatecas Mineros Compare
Top Goalscorer Avila J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Tepatitlan de Morelos 14 / 100
Zacatecas Mineros 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Tepatitlan de Morelos Zacatecas Mineros
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Zacatecas Mineros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Tepatitlan de Morelos scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.
Zacatecas Mineros's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Zacatecas Mineros lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Tepatitlan de Morelos VS Zacatecas Mineros
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
3.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Home) 10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
Page 1 of 7
10 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
03 Oct
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 1 Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 4
Zacatecas Mineros
(Away) 04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
25 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
3 : 0 Piratas
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
13 Sept
Zacatecas Mineros
0 : 1 Club Atletico Morelia
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Alacranes de Durango
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
05 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 0 Zacatecas Mineros
24 Aug
Tapatio
4 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
07 Aug
Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 2 Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 28:17 | 24 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 28:15 | 23 |
| 3 | Club Atletico Morelia | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 4 | Venados FC | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 27:22 | 20 |
| 5 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25:21 | 18 |
| 6 | Cancun | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Piratas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 18 |
| 8 | Alacranes de Durango | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 11:11 | 18 |
| 9 | Correcaminos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20:20 | 16 |
| 10 | Tlaxcala | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | 15 |
| 11 | Tapatio | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 14 |
| 12 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21:23 | 13 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 10:23 | 13 |
| 14 | Jaiba Brava | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:19 | 11 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9:30 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
