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Ter Leede vs HSV Hoek Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2022/2023
Ter Leede Logo

Ter Leede

1 - 2
FT
HSV Hoek Logo

HSV Hoek

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
De Smet M.
28' Event
Impens R.
70' Event
Hoekstra D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Derde Divisie 2022/2023 game between Ter Leede and HSV Hoek finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward HSV Hoek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ter Leede
30%
Draws
23%
HSV Hoek
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ter Leede

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and HSV Hoek come out ahead of Ter Leede on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ter Leede a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ter Leede Clean Sheet 12%
HSV Hoek Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ter Leede HSV Hoek
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2023 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs HSV Hoek
1:2
Oct 5, 2022 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Ter Leede
1:2
Apr 18, 2022 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs HSV Hoek
2:3
Nov 20, 2021 Derde Divisie
HSV Hoek vs Ter Leede
0:1
Feb 6, 2021 Derde Divisie
Ter Leede vs HSV Hoek
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ter Leede Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoekstra D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

HSV Hoek Compare

Top Goalscorer De Smet M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Impens R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ter Leede 65 / 100
HSV Hoek 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ter Leede HSV Hoek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ter Leede Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

HSV Hoek has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Ter Leede scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Ter Leede went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS HSV Hoek
0 Goals Scored 2.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ter Leede

(Home)
13 Aug
Rijnvogels
2 : 2
Ter Leede
27 Jul
Ter Leede
3 : 1
VV Noordwijk
27 May
VV DOVO
0 : 2
Ter Leede
20 May
Ter Leede
1 : 2
Barendrecht
13 May
Ter Leede
1 : 0
ASWH
Page 1 of 6

HSV Hoek

(Away)
03 Oct
HSV Hoek
3 : 1
De Treffers
26 Sept
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
3 : 0
HSV Hoek
19 Sept
HSV Hoek
2 : 2
Jong Almere City
12 Sept
Barendrecht
1 : 1
HSV Hoek
05 Sept
RKAV Volendam
2 : 1
HSV Hoek
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ACV Assen 34 22 9 3 71:33 75
2 GVVV 34 21 6 7 77:40 69
3 SteDoCo 34 18 4 12 59:42 58
4 Rijnvogels 34 17 5 12 64:55 56
5 Barendrecht 34 18 5 11 71:54 55
6 Sportlust 34 15 8 11 52:50 53
7 DVS '33 Ermelo 34 15 7 12 54:43 52
8 Sparta Nijkerk 34 13 11 10 45:45 50
9 HSV Hoek 34 16 2 16 71:72 50
10 VV DOVO 34 15 3 16 51:56 48
11 Staphorst 34 12 9 13 38:41 45
12 Urk 34 13 3 18 62:76 42
13 Harkemase Boys 34 10 8 16 52:56 38
14 RKAV Volendam 34 9 9 16 52:72 36
15 VVOG 34 10 5 19 49:71 35
16 Excelsior 31 34 8 9 17 47:58 33
17 Ter Leede 34 8 9 17 50:65 33
18 ASWH 34 7 6 21 25:61 27
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADO 20 Heemskerk 34 27 3 4 85:37 84
2 VVSB 34 22 5 7 87:52 71
3 USV Hercules 34 18 9 7 64:33 63
4 Blauw Geel 34 15 10 9 53:45 55
5 OJC Rosmalen 34 16 6 12 58:56 54
6 HSC '21 34 14 9 11 64:42 51
7 UNA 34 12 13 9 55:41 49
8 TOGB 34 13 10 11 68:56 49
9 HV & CV Quick 34 13 10 11 59:47 49
10 DEM 34 13 9 12 58:53 48
11 Gemert 34 14 5 15 52:59 47
12 GVV Unitas 34 13 6 15 43:59 45
13 Groene Ster 34 10 13 11 42:44 43
14 FC OSS '20 34 8 12 14 39:59 36
15 Watergraafsmeer 34 8 8 18 35:80 32
16 Baronie 34 8 4 22 44:70 28
17 Dongen 34 6 7 21 45:77 25
18 RKSV UDI 19 34 4 5 25 26:67 17
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2022/2023 (Relegation)