Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teramo vs Fermana

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Pietrantonio M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 game between Teramo and Fermana finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teramo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Teramo
35%
Draws
20%
Fermana
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Teramo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Teramo a 45% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Teramo Clean Sheet 20%
Fermana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teramo Fermana
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 23 4
Draws 12 11
Losses 2 15
Goals Scored 1.95 0.67
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Fermana
1:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Fermana vs Teramo
1:1
Mar 15, 2022 Serie C - Group B
Fermana vs Teramo
0:1
Nov 7, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Teramo vs Fermana
3:2
Mar 3, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Teramo vs Fermana
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pietrantonio M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Fermana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teramo 76 / 100
Fermana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teramo Fermana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teramo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teramo found the back of the net in 92% of recent matches (37 games).

Solid form: Teramo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Fermana conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Teramo VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Teramo

(Home)
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Teramo
26 Apr
Teramo
2 : 2
Recanatese
Page 1 of 8

Fermana

(Away)
04 May
Castelfidardo
1 : 0
Fermana
27 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Sambenedettese
17 Apr
Fermana
0 : 2
Civitanovese Calcio
13 Apr
Termoli
1 : 1
Fermana
06 Apr
Fermana
2 : 0
Avezzano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sambenedettese 34 21 9 4 61:21 72
2 Aquila Calcio 34 17 11 6 48:31 62
3 Teramo 34 17 9 8 51:33 60
4 Calcio Chieti 34 16 11 7 52:39 58
5 Fossombrone 34 12 14 8 44:36 50
6 Ancona 34 13 8 13 35:40 47
7 Avezzano 34 13 7 14 41:43 46
8 Castelfidardo 34 12 9 13 39:34 45
9 Atletico Ascoli 34 10 13 11 35:39 43
10 Vigor Senigallia 34 9 15 10 36:38 42
11 Termoli 34 9 14 11 37:44 41
12 Recanatese 34 10 10 14 42:53 40
13 AS Sora 34 9 13 12 32:39 40
14 Notaresco Calcio 34 10 8 16 37:45 38
15 Civitanovese Calcio 34 8 13 13 31:39 37
16 Roma City 34 8 11 15 32:36 35
17 Isernia 34 8 10 16 32:57 34
18 Fermana 34 6 11 17 24:42 27
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2024/2025 (Play Out)