Sport Picks
Teramo vs Fossombrone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 
Match Events
55'
55'
Carpani G.
86'
86'
Fabbri G.
90'
90'
Imbriola V.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Teramo and Fossombrone finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teramo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
15%
31%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Teramo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Teramo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Teramo's way, sitting at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Teramo Clean Sheet 68%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Teramo | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 18 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 3 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Fossombrone
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Teramo
0:1
May 18, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Fossombrone
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Fossombrone
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Teramo
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Teramo Compare
Top Goalscorer Carpani G.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
Fossombrone Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabbri G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Teramo 77 / 100
Fossombrone 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Teramo Fossombrone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Teramo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Teramo found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (29 games).
Fossombrone let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Teramo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Teramo VS Fossombrone
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Teramo
(Home) 07 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 4 Teramo
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0 Teramo
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2 Giulianova
16 Sept
Angelana
1 : 3 Teramo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4 Vigor Senigallia
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2 Giulianova
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1 Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 3
Fossombrone
(Away) 07 Oct
Ancona
2 : 1 Fossombrone
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1 Fossombrone
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4 Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Ancona
2 : 1 Fossombrone
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1 Fossombrone
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0 Fossombrone
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1 Fossombrone
06 Sept
Giulianova
1 : 2 Fossombrone
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
