Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Pavone F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Teramo and Notaresco Calcio finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teramo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Teramo
30%
Draws
19%
Notaresco Calcio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Notaresco Calcio haven't matched Teramo's recent run of results.
  • Teramo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Teramo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Teramo Clean Sheet 68%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teramo Notaresco Calcio
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 18 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 2 12
Goals Scored 1.93 1.09
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
3:1
Mar 29, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Teramo
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Notaresco Calcio
1:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Teramo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teramo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavone F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Notaresco Calcio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teramo 95 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teramo Notaresco Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teramo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teramo found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Recent resilience: Teramo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Notaresco Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Teramo VS Notaresco Calcio
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Teramo

(Home)
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3
Teramo
04 Aug
Teramo
1 : 1
Scafatese
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Teramo
2 : 1
Atletico Ascoli
03 May
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1
Teramo
Page 1 of 6

Notaresco Calcio

(Away)
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2
Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3
Notaresco Calcio
03 May
Ancona
1 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)