Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja Prediction & H2H Stats

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup 2022/2023
Tue, Oct 11, 2022
3 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Zagani S.
69' Event
Xhabrahimi A.
80' Event
Hysa V.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Terbuni Puka advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Terbuni Puka
15%
Draws
85%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Lushnja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lushnja's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Lushnja arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Lushnja, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 20%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terbuni Puka Lushnja
Matches Played 29 44
Wins 7 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 0.79 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.86
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
0:3
Nov 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Terbuni Puka
0:1
Oct 11, 2022 Albanian Cup
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
3:2
Sep 28, 2022 Albanian Cup
Lushnja vs Terbuni Puka
2:0
Jan 29, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Lushnja
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terbuni Puka Compare

Top Goalscorer Zagani S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Xhabrahimi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Lushnja Compare

Top Goalscorer Korreshi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andoni D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.78
Avg xA / game 0.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terbuni Puka 28 / 100
Lushnja 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terbuni Puka Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lushnja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lushnja's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 44 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Lushnja's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Terbuni Puka found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Terbuni Puka VS Lushnja
0 Goals Scored 0.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Terbuni Puka

(Home)
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Terbuni Puka
Page 1 of 6

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 9

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Pogradeci -
TBD -
TBD -
Bylis -
Flamurtari -
TBD -
TBD -
Vllaznia -
Besa Kavaje -
TBD -
TBD -
Korabi Peshkopi -
KF Oriku -
TBD -
TBD -
Partizani -
Maliqi -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca -
Shkumbini Peqin -
TBD -
TBD -
KF Egnatia -
Burreli -
TBD -
TBD -
Tomori Berat -
KS Devolli 5
Sopoti Librazhd 1
TBD -
Laci -
Butrinti Sarande -
TBD -
TBD -
Dinamo City -
Vora -
TBD -
TBD -
Kastrioti -
Lushnja -
TBD -
TBD -
Terbuni Puka -
Koplik 3
Murlani 0
TBD -
KF Tirana -
Turbina Cerrik -
TBD -
TBD -
Erzeni Shijak -
Luzi -
TBD -
TBD -
Teuta -
Beselidhja Lezha -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier -
Laberia FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Kukesi -
1/16-finals
Pogradeci 1
Bylis 10
Flamurtari 2
Vllaznia 4
Besa Kavaje 1
Korabi Peshkopi 4
KF Oriku 0
Partizani 2
Maliqi 1
Skenderbeu Korca 8
Shkumbini Peqin 0
KF Egnatia 6
Burreli 2
Tomori Berat 5
KS Devolli 0
Laci 7
Butrinti Sarande 0
Dinamo City 4
Vora 0
Kastrioti 1
Lushnja 4
Terbuni Puka 3
Koplik 2
KF Tirana 5
Turbina Cerrik 1
Erzeni Shijak 6
Luzi 0
Teuta 2
Beselidhja Lezha 1
Apolonia Fier 2
Laberia FC 0
Kukesi 5
1/8-finals
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Korabi Peshkopi 1
Partizani 6
Skenderbeu Korca 1
KF Egnatia 2
Tomori Berat 2
Laci 5
Dinamo City 1
Kastrioti 3
Lushnja 0
KF Tirana 4
Erzeni Shijak 1
Teuta 2
Apolonia Fier 0
Kukesi 5
Quarter-finals
Vllaznia 3
Partizani 2
KF Egnatia 3
Laci 0
Kastrioti 3
KF Tirana 6
Teuta 3
Kukesi 2
Semi-finals
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 2
KF Tirana 3
Teuta 0
Final
KF Egnatia 1
KF Tirana 0