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TerDU vs Metallurg Bekabad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Abdumuminov A.
35' Event
Iminjonov N.
(Penalty)
74' Event
Milickovic M.

AI Match Summary

The Pro Liga game between TerDU and Metallurg Bekabad finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metallurg Bekabad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
TerDU
15%
Draws
85%
Metallurg Bekabad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Metallurg Bekabad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • TerDU haven't matched Metallurg Bekabad's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Metallurg Bekabad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
TerDU Clean Sheet 10%
Metallurg Bekabad Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TerDU Metallurg Bekabad
Matches Played 22 29
Wins 1 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 0.59 1.97
Goals Conceded 2.41 0.79
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Pro Liga
TerDU vs Metallurg Bekabad
0:3
Apr 15, 2026 Pro Liga
Metallurg Bekabad vs TerDU
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

TerDU Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Metallurg Bekabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdumuminov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milickovic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TerDU 10 / 100
Metallurg Bekabad 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TerDU Metallurg Bekabad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Metallurg Bekabad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Metallurg Bekabad let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

TerDU scored in 45% of their last 22 games.

Scoring Trends

TerDU VS Metallurg Bekabad
0.5 Goals Scored 2.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

TerDU

(Home)
08 Oct
Aral
3 : 0
TerDU
22 Sept
TerDU
1 : 4
Gazalkent
12 Sept
Shortan Guzor
3 : 0
TerDU
07 Sept
TerDU
0 : 1
Jayxun
28 Aug
Pakhtakor II
3 : 0
TerDU
Page 1 of 5

Metallurg Bekabad

(Away)
08 Oct
Kattaqurgon
0 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
20 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Jayxun
07 Sept
Metallurg Bekabad
1 : 0
Pakhtakor II
02 Sept
Olimpik-Mobiuz
2 : 3
Metallurg Bekabad
27 Aug
BuxDu
0 : 4
Metallurg Bekabad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aral 21 16 4 1 45:13 52
2 Shortan Guzor 21 14 3 4 38:20 45
3 Metallurg Bekabad 21 13 4 4 49:16 43
4 FarDU 21 11 7 3 39:29 40
5 FC Lochin 21 10 5 6 32:25 35
6 Gazalkent 21 10 5 6 39:25 35
7 Kattaqurgon 20 10 3 7 24:20 33
8 Olimpik-Mobiuz 19 9 5 5 36:22 32
9 Respublika FA 20 7 4 9 27:30 25
10 Jayxun 21 7 3 11 23:28 24
11 Yaypan 21 6 4 11 24:39 22
12 BuxDu 21 3 1 17 18:54 10
13 Pakhtakor II 21 3 1 17 15:49 10
14 TerDU 21 1 1 19 12:51 4
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