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Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Legia

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Termalica Bruk-Bet play Legia in the Ekstraklasa 2025/2026. Termalica Bruk-Bet are favorites here. Recently, Termalica Bruk-Bet averaged 2.03 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Legia averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Termalica Bruk-Bet won 1, Legia won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 10, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Termalica Bruk-Bet and 1.00 for Legia. This points to a Termalica Bruk-Bet double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
25%
Draws
15%
Legia
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Termalica Bruk-Bet picked up more points recently compared to Legia.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 23%
Legia Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termalica Bruk-Bet Legia
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 16 14
Draws 3 10
Losses 10 3
Goals Scored 2.03 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Legia
0:1
Nov 9, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:2
Aug 30, 2022 Polish Cup
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Legia
2:3
Mar 15, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
4:1
Feb 19, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Legia
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Legia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adamski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termalica Bruk-Bet 59 / 100
Legia 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termalica Bruk-Bet Legia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termalica Bruk-Bet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Termalica Bruk-Bet & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Termalica Bruk-Bet attacking → ← attacking Legia

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termalica Bruk-Bet scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Legia let in goals in 63% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Termalica Bruk-Bet went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Legia lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 52
2.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Lech Poznan341612662:4560
2Gornik Zabrze341681050:3856
3Jagiellonia341511856:4156
4Rakow Czestochowa341671151:4055
5GKS Katowice341481251:4550
6Legia341213942:3749
7Zaglebie341391245:3848
8Wisla Plock3412101234:3846
9Pogon Szczecin341361547:4945
10Radomiak Radom3411111252:5344
11Korona Kielce3411101340:4043
12Motor Lublin3410131146:5343
13Cracovia349151039:4242
14Widzew Lodz341261641:4142
15Piast Gliwice341181542:4641
16Lechia Gdansk341271562:6538
17Arka Gdynia34991634:6136
18Termalica Bruk-Bet34971843:6534