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Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Polonia Warszawa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza, Nieciecza
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Terpilowski E.
Assist: Tabara K.
41'
Terpilowski E.
49' Event
Terpilowski E.

AI Match Summary

Polonia Warszawa in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Polonia Warszawa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
20%
Draws
35%
Polonia Warszawa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Termalica Bruk-Bet lately — more wins on the board than Polonia Warszawa.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 20%
Polonia Warszawa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termalica Bruk-Bet Polonia Warszawa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 4 3
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.07 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Polonia Warszawa
1:3
Apr 14, 2025 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Polonia Warszawa
0:3
Sep 29, 2024 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
0:1
May 5, 2024 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Polonia Warszawa
2:2
Nov 4, 2023 Division 1
Polonia Warszawa vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozik M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Polonia Warszawa Compare

Top Goalscorer Terpilowski E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Durmus I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termalica Bruk-Bet 31 / 100
Polonia Warszawa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termalica Bruk-Bet Polonia Warszawa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termalica Bruk-Bet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termalica Bruk-Bet scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Termalica Bruk-Bet remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Polonia Warszawa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Termalica Bruk-Bet VS Polonia Warszawa
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Termalica Bruk-Bet

(Home)
10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

Polonia Warszawa

(Away)
10 Oct
Arka Gdynia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
03 Oct
Jagiellonia
1 : 2
Polonia Warszawa
19 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 0
Chrobry Glogow
11 Sept
Polonia Warszawa
2 : 2
Polonia Bytom
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
5 LKS Lodz 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
6 Ruch Chorzow 10 4 3 3 11:11 15
7 Legnica 10 4 2 4 14:10 14
8 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
9 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
10 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
11 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
12 Odra Opole 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
13 Polonia Bytom 10 2 6 2 15:17 12
14 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
15 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
16 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
18 Puszcza 9 2 0 7 8:13 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)