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Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Warta Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza, Nieciecza
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Stanek M.
Assist: Stefaniak M.
46'
Sub
Jaroszewski M. In: Dabrowski S.
Out: Jaroszewski M.
49'
Apolinarski J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Termalica Bruk-Bet and Warta Poznan finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Warta Poznan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
15%
Draws
35%
Warta Poznan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Termalica Bruk-Bet come out ahead of Warta Poznan on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Termalica Bruk-Bet's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 20%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termalica Bruk-Bet Warta Poznan
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 17 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Warta Poznan
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Division 1
Warta Poznan vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
0:1
Jul 20, 2024 Division 1
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Warta Poznan
3:0
Mar 5, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Termalica Bruk-Bet vs Warta Poznan
1:0
Sep 11, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Warta Poznan vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Warta Poznan Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanek M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termalica Bruk-Bet 58 / 100
Warta Poznan 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termalica Bruk-Bet Warta Poznan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termalica Bruk-Bet Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termalica Bruk-Bet's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Termalica Bruk-Bet stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Warta Poznan has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Termalica Bruk-Bet VS Warta Poznan
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Termalica Bruk-Bet

(Home)
10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

Warta Poznan

(Away)
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1
Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3
Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2
Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0
Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
15 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
16 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
17 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)