Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Din. Samarkand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
Match Events
2'
2'
Khozhimirzaev A.
Assist: Hajdarevic H.
30'
30'
Friday R.
40'
40'
Abdurakhmonov F.
AI Match Summary
Din. Samarkand in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Din. Samarkand.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termez Surkhon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Din. Samarkand lately — more wins on the board than Termez Surkhon.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Din. Samarkand have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 68%
Din. Samarkand Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Din. Samarkand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.86 | 1.37 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 23, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Din. Samarkand
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Din. Samarkand
0:2
May 9, 2025 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Termez Surkhon
1:0
Sep 26, 2024 Super League
Din. Samarkand vs Termez Surkhon
3:0
May 13, 2024 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Din. Samarkand
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termez Surkhon Compare
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Din. Samarkand Compare
Top Goalscorer Khozhimirzaev A.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termez Surkhon 41 / 100
Din. Samarkand 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termez Surkhon Din. Samarkand
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Termez Surkhon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Din. Samarkand has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Termez Surkhon's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Termez Surkhon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Termez Surkhon VS Din. Samarkand
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home) 10 Oct
Qizilqum
0 : 0 Termez Surkhon
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 3
Din. Samarkand
(Away) 09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
10 Sept
Din. Samarkand
1 : 0 Qizilqum
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Nasaf Qarshi
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
17 Sept
Navbahor Namangan
3 : 2 Din. Samarkand
05 Sept
Kokand 1912
1 : 1 Din. Samarkand
19 Aug
OKMK
0 : 1 Din. Samarkand
07 Aug
Lok. Tashkent
2 : 1 Din. Samarkand
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 23:30 | 30 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 19:28 | 27 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
