Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs OKMK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
Match Events
17'
17'
Shukurullaev B.
27'
27'
Kholmurodov A.
41'
41'
Kosimov M.
AI Match Summary
The Super League game between Termez Surkhon and OKMK finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: OKMK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- OKMK carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Termez Surkhon taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 20%
OKMK Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | OKMK |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.89 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs OKMK
0:0
Apr 8, 2026 Super League
OKMK vs Termez Surkhon
1:1
Nov 20, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs OKMK
0:0
Jun 30, 2025 Super League
OKMK vs Termez Surkhon
0:1
Sep 16, 2024 Super League
OKMK vs Termez Surkhon
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termez Surkhon 36 / 100
OKMK 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termez Surkhon OKMK
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
OKMK has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
Termez Surkhon found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).
Recent resilience: Termez Surkhon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Games between these two average 0.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
Termez Surkhon VS OKMK
0.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
25% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home) 20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 3
OKMK
(Away) 20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2 OKMK
16 Sept
OKMK
2 : 1 Xorazm Urganch
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
03 Sept
OKMK
1 : 0 Xorazm Urganch
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sogdiana
1 : 2 OKMK
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
13 Aug
Buxoro
2 : 0 OKMK
08 Aug
Bunyodkor
2 : 3 OKMK
22 Jul
Kokand 1912
1 : 4 OKMK
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 52:19 | 52 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 42:21 | 52 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 35:22 | 37 |
| 5 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 35:31 | 37 |
| 6 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 7 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 34:36 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 29:31 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Kokand 1912 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 22:30 | 23 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 20:34 | 22 |
| 15 | Bunyodkor | 23 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 23:39 | 22 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 23 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 11:47 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
