Sport Picks
Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor Prediction & H2H Stats
Uzbekistan
Super League Stadion Surkhon, Termez 
Match Events
25'
25'
Buriev A.
41'
41'
Abdullazhonov S.
46'
46'
Sub
Tursunov D. In: Friday R.
Out: Tursunov D.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pakhtakor
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Pakhtakor lately — more wins on the board than Termez Surkhon.
- Win probability leans Pakhtakor's way, sitting at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Termez Surkhon Clean Sheet 20%
Pakhtakor Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termez Surkhon | Pakhtakor |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.51 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
0:0
May 3, 2026 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor
1:1
Sep 29, 2025 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
1:0
May 3, 2025 Super League
Termez Surkhon vs Pakhtakor
2:1
Aug 22, 2024 Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termez Surkhon Compare
Top Goalscorer Abdullazhonov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26
Pakhtakor Compare
Top Goalscorer Azmiddinov S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termez Surkhon 28 / 100
Pakhtakor 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termez Surkhon Pakhtakor
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pakhtakor Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Termez Surkhon found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Pakhtakor conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Solid form: Termez Surkhon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Termez Surkhon VS Pakhtakor
0.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
13% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Termez Surkhon
(Home) 20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
09 Sept
Neftchi Fargona
2 : 1 Termez Surkhon
04 Sept
Bunyodkor
0 : 1 Termez Surkhon
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Termez Surkhon
1 : 0 Kokand 1912
29 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 PFK Guliston
25 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 0 OKMK
13 Aug
Termez Surkhon
1 : 3 Sogdiana
07 Aug
Termez Surkhon
0 : 1 Navbahor Namangan
Page 1 of 4
Pakhtakor
(Away) 19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
04 Sept
Pakhtakor
3 : 0 Andijan
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Mashal Muborak
1 : 2 Pakhtakor
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
09 Sept
OKMK
1 : 3 Pakhtakor
29 Aug
Neftchi Fargona
1 : 0 Pakhtakor
25 Aug
Din. Samarkand
1 : 1 Pakhtakor
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fargona | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 50:17 | 51 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 39:20 | 49 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lok. Tashkent | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 36:28 | 35 |
| 5 | OKMK | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 31:29 | 35 |
| 6 | Nasaf Qarshi | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 33:21 | 34 |
| 7 | Buxoro | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:29 | 34 |
| 8 | Din. Samarkand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33:34 | 30 |
| 9 | Andijan | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:28 | 30 |
| 10 | Qizilqum | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 23:30 | 29 |
| 11 | Sogdiana | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 38:43 | 28 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 19:28 | 26 |
| 13 | Bunyodkor | 22 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 22:36 | 22 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 18:32 | 21 |
| 15 | Kokand 1912 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 19:30 | 20 |
| 16 | Mashal Muborak | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11:44 | 4 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Pro Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Pro Liga 2027 (Main)
