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Termoli vs Celano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 game between Termoli and Celano finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Termoli
30%
Draws
12%
Celano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Termoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Termoli's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Termoli have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Termoli Clean Sheet 20%
Celano Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Celano
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 14 5
Losses 11 21
Goals Scored 0.69 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2015 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Celano
1:0
Nov 9, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Termoli
3:1
Mar 16, 2014 Serie D - Group F
Celano vs Termoli
1:2
Nov 3, 2013 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Celano
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 67 / 100
Celano 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Celano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celano let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Termoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Celano has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS -
0.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0
Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0
Termoli
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Celano

(Away)
10 May
Celano
0 : 1
Vis Pesaro
03 May
Matelica
1 : 1
Celano
26 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Campobasso
19 Apr
Fermana
1 : 0
Celano
12 Apr
Celano
0 : 1
Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maceratese 34 22 12 0 61:22 78
2 Fano 34 22 8 4 60:25 74
3 Sambenedettese 34 18 9 7 71:40 63
4 Campobasso 34 15 12 7 49:42 57
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 13 8 59:46 52
6 Calcio Chieti 34 12 14 8 52:46 50
7 Civitanovese Calcio 34 13 11 10 56:51 50
8 Matelica 34 11 12 11 36:34 45
9 Giulianova 34 10 15 9 44:43 45
10 Fermana 34 11 9 14 37:44 42
11 Jesina 34 10 12 12 40:38 42
12 Termoli 34 10 9 15 31:53 39
13 Recanatese 34 9 12 13 37:44 39
14 Amiternina 34 9 11 14 30:45 38
15 Castelfidardo 34 7 10 17 25:49 31
16 Agnonese 34 8 7 19 31:51 31
17 Vis Pesaro 34 6 11 17 35:45 29
18 Celano 34 4 5 25 23:59 17
Promotion - Serie D - Winners stage 2014/2015 (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Serie D - Play Offs (Main)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2014/2015 (Play Out)