Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Termoli and Fossombrone finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Fossombrone carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Termoli a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
Termoli Clean Sheet 68%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termoli | Fossombrone |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 14 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.83 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Fossombrone
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Termoli
1:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Fossombrone
0:1
Sep 22, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Termoli
0:0
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Fossombrone
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termoli 95 / 100
Fossombrone 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termoli Fossombrone
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Termoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fossombrone let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Termoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Fossombrone has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Termoli scored in 57% of their last 30 games.
Scoring Trends
Termoli VS Fossombrone
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Termoli
(Home) 03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0 Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
12 Apr
Teramo
0 : 0 Termoli
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03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
22 Mar
Termoli
0 : 0 Fossombrone
01 Mar
Termoli
1 : 1 Vigor Senigallia
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Fossombrone
(Away) 01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Fossombrone
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0 Fossombrone
26 Apr
Fossombrone
3 : 1 Castelfidardo
19 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1 Fossombrone
12 Apr
Fossombrone
1 : 2 Ancona
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01 Aug
Cesena
3 : 0 Fossombrone
03 May
Recanatese
2 : 0 Fossombrone
19 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 1 Fossombrone
02 Apr
San Marino Calcio
3 : 0 Fossombrone
22 Mar
Termoli
0 : 0 Fossombrone
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
