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Termoli vs Lanciano FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Campanile A.
36' Event
Calemme L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F game between Termoli and Lanciano FC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Termoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Termoli
20%
Draws
51%
Lanciano FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lanciano FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Termoli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Lanciano FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Termoli Clean Sheet 16%
Lanciano FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Lanciano FC
Matches Played 28 9
Wins 7 2
Draws 9 1
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.64 1.33
Goals Conceded 0.89 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Lanciano FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Campanile A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Calemme L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lanciano FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 23 / 100
Lanciano FC 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Lanciano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanciano FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lanciano FC has conceded goals in 89% of their last 9 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Termoli scored in 54% of their last 28 games.

Solid form: Termoli remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS Lanciano FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
07 Oct
Aquila Calcio
5 : 2
Termoli
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Sporting Trestina
2 : 0
Termoli
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
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Lanciano FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Notaresco Calcio 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
7 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)