Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Infantino S.
45'
45'
Pistillo D.
90'
90'
Romano G.
AI Match Summary
Notaresco Calcio in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Notaresco Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Termoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Notaresco Calcio lately — more wins on the board than Termoli.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Termoli taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Termoli Clean Sheet 20%
Notaresco Calcio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Termoli | Notaresco Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 11 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.65 | 1.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.77 | 1.16 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Notaresco Calcio
1:2
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Termoli
1:1
Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D
Notaresco Calcio vs Termoli
2:0
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Notaresco Calcio
2:1
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Notaresco Calcio vs Termoli
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Termoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Romano G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Notaresco Calcio Compare
Top Goalscorer Infantino S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pistillo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Termoli 49 / 100
Notaresco Calcio 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Termoli Notaresco Calcio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Termoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Notaresco Calcio has conceded goals in 66% of their last 32 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Termoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Notaresco Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Termoli VS Notaresco Calcio
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
38% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Termoli
(Home) 20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0 Termoli
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0 Angelana
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0 Termoli
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Termoli
1 : 2 Vigor Senigallia
13 Sept
Termoli
1 : 0 Angelana
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1 Aquila Calcio
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0 Sammaurese
Page 1 of 4
Notaresco Calcio
(Away) 20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0 Santegidiese
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
06 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 2 Ancona
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Foligno
1 : 0 Notaresco Calcio
12 Sept
Teramo
2 : 2 Notaresco Calcio
05 Aug
Pineto
4 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
17 May
Teramo
3 : 1 Notaresco Calcio
10 May
Ancona
1 : 3 Notaresco Calcio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ostiamare | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 65:25 | 79 |
| 2 | Ancona | 34 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 59:22 | 76 |
| 3 | Teramo | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 65:29 | 74 |
| 4 | Atletico Ascoli | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 55:35 | 55 |
| 5 | Notaresco Calcio | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 43:31 | 51 |
| 6 | Aquila Calcio | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:44 | 51 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 34 | 11 | 16 | 7 | 40:31 | 49 |
| 8 | Vigor Senigallia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45:40 | 49 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:34 | 44 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 11 | Termoli | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 27:30 | 39 |
| 12 | Maceratese | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 43:49 | 38 |
| 13 | AS Sora | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:50 | 38 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39:57 | 32 |
| 15 | San Marino Calcio | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:61 | 31 |
| 16 | Calcio Chieti | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 31:55 | 24 |
| 17 | Castelfidardo | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 30:65 | 23 |
| 18 | Sammaurese | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30:69 | 20 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)
