Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Termoli vs Ostiamare

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Vianni S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Termoli and Ostiamare finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ostiamare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Termoli
15%
Draws
36%
Ostiamare
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Termoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Ostiamare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Termoli are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Termoli Clean Sheet 20%
Ostiamare Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Termoli Ostiamare
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.61 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Ostiamare vs Termoli
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Termoli vs Ostiamare
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Termoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Ostiamare Compare

Top Goalscorer Vianni S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Termoli 36 / 100
Ostiamare 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Termoli Ostiamare

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ostiamare's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Ostiamare's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Termoli's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Termoli VS Ostiamare
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Termoli

(Home)
06 Sept
Aquila Calcio
1 : 0
Termoli
03 May
Termoli
1 : 1
Aquila Calcio
26 Apr
Ostiamare
1 : 0
Termoli
19 Apr
Termoli
1 : 2
Notaresco Calcio
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
Page 1 of 6

Ostiamare

(Away)
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2
Ostiamare
29 Aug
Ostiamare
1 : 2
Grosseto
23 Aug
Perugia
1 : 0
Ostiamare
16 Aug
Latina
2 : 1
Ostiamare
05 Aug
Lazio
4 : 0
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)