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Ternana U19 vs Monopoli U19

Italy Italy

Primavera 2 2025/2026
Ternana U19 Logo

Ternana U19

4 - 3
FT
Monopoli U19 Logo

Monopoli U19

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Biancafarina F.
48' Event
Merlanti N.
61' Event
Merlanti N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ternana U19 in this Primavera 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ternana U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ternana U19
35%
Draws
32%
Monopoli U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Monopoli U19 haven't matched Ternana U19's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ternana U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ternana U19 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Ternana U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Monopoli U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana U19 Monopoli U19
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 10
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.66 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Monopoli U19
4:3
Nov 29, 2025 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Ternana U19
2:1
Apr 12, 2025 Primavera 2
Monopoli U19 vs Ternana U19
1:2
Oct 26, 2024 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Monopoli U19
2:0
Mar 9, 2024 Primavera 2
Ternana U19 vs Monopoli U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Biancafarina F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruti T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Monopoli U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Merlanti N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Castiglione G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana U19 35 / 100
Monopoli U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana U19 Monopoli U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ternana U19 found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Monopoli U19 conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Ternana U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana U19 VS Monopoli U19
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana U19

(Home)
09 May
Ternana U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
02 May
Spezia U19
2 : 1
Ternana U19
25 Apr
Ternana U19
1 : 4
Empoli U19
18 Apr
Cosenza U19
1 : 1
Ternana U19
11 Apr
Ternana U19
2 : 1
Benevento U19
Page 1 of 7

Monopoli U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Monopoli U19
2 : 2
Pescara U19
12 Sept
Perugia U19
3 : 0
Monopoli U19
05 Sept
Monopoli U19
4 : 0
Cosenza U19
22 Aug
Monopoli U19
2 : 3
Union Brescia U19
09 May
Monopoli U19
1 : 1
Cosenza U19
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Como U19 30 18 7 5 58:31 61
2 Lecco U19 30 18 6 6 65:50 60
3 Modena U19 30 16 7 7 55:38 55
4 AlbinoLeffe U19 30 14 5 11 58:59 47
5 Reggiana U19 30 13 7 10 58:44 46
6 Pro Vercelli U19 30 14 4 12 44:46 46
7 Entella U19 30 10 13 7 47:38 43
8 Sampdoria U19 30 12 5 13 57:48 41
9 Vicenza U19 30 10 8 12 45:53 38
10 Sudtirol U19 30 9 10 11 36:37 37
11 Udinese U19 30 9 9 12 53:50 36
12 Cittadella U19 30 9 9 12 42:49 36
13 Renate U19 30 7 12 11 34:44 33
14 Union Brescia U19 30 9 3 18 31:46 30
15 Venezia U19 30 6 8 16 32:63 26
16 Padova U19 30 6 7 17 34:53 25
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Empoli U19 30 23 5 2 74:19 74
2 Perugia U19 30 16 7 7 47:27 55
3 Pescara U19 30 15 7 8 51:37 52
4 Avellino U19 30 13 12 5 54:36 51
5 Pisa U19 30 13 9 8 54:41 48
6 Spezia U19 30 15 3 12 55:43 48
7 Catanzaro U19 30 14 6 10 42:35 48
8 Benevento U19 30 13 5 12 42:50 44
9 Ternana U19 30 11 9 10 51:54 42
10 Monopoli U19 30 10 7 13 39:50 37
11 Bari U19 30 9 8 13 42:42 35
12 Ascoli U19 30 8 9 13 47:50 33
13 Palermo U19 30 5 12 13 35:43 27
14 Cosenza U19 30 6 9 15 32:62 27
15 Salernitana U19 30 6 6 18 28:62 24
16 Crotone U19 30 1 10 19 20:62 13
Promotion - Primavera 1 (Main)
Promotion - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)