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Ternana vs Giugliano Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Nepi A.
29' Event
Loiacono G.
31' Event
Leonardi S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Ternana advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Ternana
20%
Draws
30%
Giugliano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ternana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Ternana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ternana a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Ternana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Ternana, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Giugliano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana Giugliano
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.15 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ternana vs Giugliano
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ternana Compare

Top Goalscorer Loiacono G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leonardi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Giugliano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nepi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana 86 / 100
Giugliano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana Giugliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ternana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Giugliano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Ternana found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (27 games).

Ternana went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ternana VS Giugliano
0.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana

(Home)
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
20 Sept
Ternana
3 : 0
Tau
16 Sept
Mezzolara
2 : 1
Ternana
12 Sept
Ternana
1 : 1
Follonica Gavorrano
06 Sept
Prato
1 : 0
Ternana
Page 1 of 6

Giugliano

(Away)
19 Sept
Salernitana
1 : 0
Giugliano
15 Sept
Giugliano
5 : 2
Cosenza
11 Sept
Audace Cerignola
4 : 0
Giugliano
05 Sept
Giugliano
0 : 2
Sorrento
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3
Giugliano
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2