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Ternana vs Seravezza Pozzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ternana host Seravezza Pozzi in the Serie D - Group E. This one's hard to separate. Ternana have averaged 1.54 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Seravezza Pozzi's 1.27 scored and 0.87 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.56 - 1.50) back Ternana to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Ternana
30%
Draws
27%
Seravezza Pozzi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ternana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Ternana average 1.54 goals a game right now, well clear of Seravezza Pozzi's 1.27.
  • Model gives Ternana a 43% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ternana Clean Sheet 16%
Seravezza Pozzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ternana Seravezza Pozzi
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 12
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.54 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.32 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ternana 75 / 100
Seravezza Pozzi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ternana Seravezza Pozzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ternana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ternana scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Ternana went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Seravezza Pozzi conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Seravezza Pozzi has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ternana VS Seravezza Pozzi
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ternana

(Home)
21 Oct
Ternana
5 : 1
Recanatese
18 Oct
Ternana
2 : 1
Siena
11 Oct
Lucchese
2 : 2
Ternana
04 Oct
Ternana
4 : 1
Montevarchi
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0
Ternana
Page 1 of 6

Seravezza Pozzi

(Away)
18 Oct
Rondinella
0 : 0
Seravezza Pozzi
11 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 0
Flaminia
07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2
Lucchese
04 Oct
Siena
2 : 1
Seravezza Pozzi
27 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
3 : 0
Terranuova Traiana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Prato 8 5 3 0 12:5 18
2 Follonica Gavorrano 8 4 4 0 11:5 16
3 Seravezza Pozzi 8 4 2 2 15:5 14
4 Lucchese 8 4 2 2 18:15 14
5 Siena 8 4 1 3 15:10 13
6 Tau 8 4 1 3 11:14 13
7 Ternana 8 3 3 2 13:8 12
8 Scandicci 8 3 3 2 13:9 12
9 Terranuova Traiana 8 3 3 2 13:10 12
10 Flaminia 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 8 3 2 3 9:10 11
12 Montevarchi 8 3 1 4 12:12 10
13 Mezzolara 8 1 6 1 7:9 9
14 Rondinella 8 2 3 3 6:10 9
15 Sasso Marconi 8 2 2 4 10:13 8
16 Grassina 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
17 SCD Progresso 8 1 0 7 4:17 3
18 Ghiviborgo 8 0 2 6 6:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)