Sport Picks
Ternana vs Union Brescia
Italy
Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 Stadio Libero Liberati, Terni 
Match Events
25'
25'
Leonardi S.
30'
30'
Pettinari S.
35'
35'
Pettinari S.
AI Match Summary
Ternana in this Coppa Italia Serie C 2025/2026 tie, finishing 4-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
35%
32%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
33%
/ Low Confidence
- Union Brescia have won more games recently than Ternana.
- 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Union Brescia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Ternana, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ternana Clean Sheet 68%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ternana | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.46 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Ternana vs Union Brescia
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ternana Compare
Top Goalscorer Pettinari S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Leonardi S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Valente M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ternana 41 / 100
Union Brescia 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ternana Union Brescia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ternana Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Ternana scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Recent resilience: Ternana stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Union Brescia has conceded goals in 53% of their last 32 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ternana VS Union Brescia
1.33 Goals Scored 1.25
1.67 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 25%
33% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ternana
(Home) 03 May
Pianese
1 : 1 Ternana
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
18 Apr
Bra
1 : 2 Ternana
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
08 Apr
Juventus U23
2 : 1 Ternana
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Ternana
1 : 3 Pianese
12 Apr
Ternana
2 : 2 Perugia
20 Mar
Ternana
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
08 Mar
Ternana
0 : 1 Gubbio
01 Mar
Ternana
2 : 4 Campobasso
Page 1 of 3
Union Brescia
(Away) 09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
01 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 1 Union Brescia
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
27 May
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Salernitana
Page 1 of 7
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
01 Aug
Pro Palazzolo
1 : 1 Union Brescia
07 Jun
Ascoli
3 : 0 Union Brescia
24 May
Salernitana
1 : 1 Union Brescia
17 May
Casarano
0 : 3 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Ternana -
TBD -
Campobasso 3
Casertana 0
Giugliano 4
Pianese 1
Benevento 1
Guidonia 1937 0
Sambenedettese 2
Vis Pesaro 0
Pineto 2
Ascoli 3
Carpi 1
Trento 0
Union Brescia 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Monopoli 1
Cosenza 0
Potenza 1
Cavese 0
Audace Cerignola -
TBD -
Casarano 1
Altamura 0
Salernitana 1
Sorrento 2
Picerno 1
Trapani 2
Crotone 1
Catania 0
Foggia 2
Siracusa 1
Rimini -
TBD -
Ravenna 2
Cittadella 0
Virtus Verona 2
Forli FC 3
Arzignano 2
Triestina 1
Lecco 0
Ospitaletto 1
Lumezzane 1
Inter U23 2
Pergolettese 1
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Novara 0
Vicenza -
TBD -
AlbinoLeffe 0
Pro Vercelli 3
Giana Erminio 1
Atalanta U23 4
Pro Patria 1
Alcione Milano 2
Arezzo 2
Bra 1
Sassari Torres 2
Livorno 1
Latina 1
Gubbio 0
Perugia 1
US Pontedera 0
1/16-finals
Ternana 1
Campobasso 0
Giugliano 2
Benevento 0
Sambenedettese 2
Ascoli 1
Carpi 0
Union Brescia 1
Monopoli 0
Potenza 1
Audace Cerignola 2
Casarano 1
Sorrento 2
Trapani 1
Crotone 1
Foggia 0
Rimini 0
Ravenna 3
Forli FC 0
Arzignano 1
Ospitaletto 1
Inter U23 2
Renate 2
Juventus U23 1
Vicenza 0
Pro Vercelli 1
Atalanta U23 2
Alcione Milano 1
Arezzo 2
Sassari Torres 0
Latina 2
Perugia 1
1/8-finals
Ternana 3
Giugliano 1
Sambenedettese 1
Union Brescia 3
Potenza 4
Audace Cerignola 2
Sorrento 1
Crotone 3
Ravenna 3
Arzignano 0
Inter U23 2
Renate 3
Pro Vercelli 5
Atalanta U23 1
Arezzo 0
Latina 1
Quarter-finals
Ternana 4
Union Brescia 1
Potenza 3
Crotone 1
Ravenna 1
Renate 2
Pro Vercelli 0
Latina 1
Semi-finals
Ternana 1
Potenza 2
Renate 2
Latina 3
Final
Potenza 3
Latina 2
