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Terra e Mar U20 vs Caucaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Ailton
83' Event
Ferreira R.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2024 game between Terra e Mar U20 and Caucaia U20 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caucaia U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Terra e Mar U20
15%
Draws
85%
Caucaia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Caucaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Caucaia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Caucaia U20 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cearense U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Terra e Mar U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terra e Mar U20 Caucaia U20
Matches Played 8 26
Wins 0 9
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.13 1.08
Goals Conceded 4.25 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2024 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Terra e Mar U20
4:0
Jun 7, 2024 Cearense U20
Terra e Mar U20 vs Caucaia U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terra e Mar U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Caucaia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ailton
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferreira R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terra e Mar U20 10 / 100
Caucaia U20 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terra e Mar U20 Caucaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Caucaia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caucaia U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 26 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Away concern: Caucaia U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Terra e Mar U20's goal record stands at 13% scoring rate across 8 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Terra e Mar U20 VS Caucaia U20
0 Goals Scored 1
4 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Terra e Mar U20

(Home)
10 Aug
Terra e Mar U20
0 : 4
Fortaleza U20
07 Aug
Terra e Mar U20
0 : 4
Itapipoca U20
26 Jul
Caucaia U20
4 : 0
Terra e Mar U20
21 Jul
Ferroviario U20
4 : 1
Terra e Mar U20
06 Jul
Fortaleza U20
14 : 0
Terra e Mar U20
Page 1 of 2

Caucaia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Acopiara U20 8 6 2 0 20:3 20
2 Iguatu U20 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Icasa U20 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
4 Crato U20 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
5 Cariri FC U20 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus CE U20 8 7 0 1 17:7 21
2 Santa Cruz CE U20 8 5 0 3 16:6 15
3 Sao Gerardo U20 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
4 CA Cearense U20 8 1 2 5 8:12 5
5 Alvinegro U20 8 0 2 6 6:29 2
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:9 19
2 Tirol U20 8 6 0 2 15:8 18
3 Atletico Cearense U20 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
4 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
5 Tiradentes U20 8 0 3 5 6:21 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 8 7 1 0 36:6 22
2 Ferroviario U20 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
3 Itapipoca U20 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Caucaia U20 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
5 Terra e Mar U20 8 0 1 7 1:34 1
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horizonte U20 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
2 Floresta EC U20 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
3 Pacatuba U20 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
4 Itarema U20 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams