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Terracina vs Sarnese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Tonni M.
Own Goal
57' Event
Vecchione P.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 game between Terracina and Sarnese finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sarnese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Terracina
20%
Draws
73%
Sarnese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sarnese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Terracina haven't matched Sarnese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Sarnese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Terracina Clean Sheet 17%
Sarnese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Terracina Sarnese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 11
Losses 20 7
Goals Scored 0.7 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 12, 2025 Serie D - Group G
Terracina vs Sarnese
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie D - Group G
Sarnese vs Terracina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terracina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Sarnese Compare

Top Goalscorer Vecchione P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terracina 10 / 100
Sarnese 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Terracina Sarnese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sarnese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sarnese conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Terracina found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Terracina stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sarnese
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Terracina

(Home)
03 May
Terracina
1 : 3
Puteolana Internapoli
27 Apr
Cynthialbalonga
4 : 0
Terracina
17 Apr
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0
Terracina
13 Apr
Terracina
0 : 0
Olbia
06 Apr
Sarrabus Ogliastra
3 : 2
Terracina
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Sarnese

(Away)
20 Sept
Sarnese
3 : 1
Gelbison
16 Sept
US Venafro
0 : 1
Sarnese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
06 Sept
Sarnese
2 : 1
Budoni Calcio
30 Jul
Cavese
1 : 0
Sarnese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guidonia 1937 34 20 9 5 59:25 69
2 Gelbison 34 18 10 6 57:37 64
3 Sarnese 34 18 8 8 54:37 62
4 Cassino 34 15 13 6 40:25 58
5 A.C. Savoia 34 16 9 9 45:33 57
6 Paganese 34 15 11 8 41:28 56
7 Cynthialbalonga 34 15 6 13 49:42 51
8 Puteolana Internapoli 34 13 11 10 48:42 50
9 Trastevere Calcio 34 12 8 14 52:55 44
10 Olbia 34 11 9 14 46:50 42
11 Latte Dolce 34 11 8 15 52:57 41
12 Anzio Calcio 1924 34 10 10 14 39:57 40
13 Atl. Lodigiani 34 9 11 14 39:49 38
14 Real Monterotondo 34 10 8 16 34:39 38
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 10 8 16 39:41 38
16 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 8 9 17 35:56 33
17 Atletico Uri 34 6 11 17 33:53 29
18 Terracina 34 5 9 20 27:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2024/2025 (Play Out)