Sport Picks

Italy

Serie D - Group E

Terranuova Traiana

1 - 0

Tau

Our Tip

Match Events

60'

Fantoni G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Terranuova Traiana in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Terranuova Traiana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Terranuova Traiana

40%

Draws

29%

Tau

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Terranuova Traiana haven't matched Tau's recent run of results.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%

Terranuova Traiana Clean Sheet 20%

Tau Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Terranuova Traiana	Tau
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	14
Draws	9	8
Losses	9	8
Goals Scored	0.75	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E

Tau vs Terranuova Traiana

Possession: 45% - 49% Cards: 3 - 3

3:2

Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E

Terranuova Traiana vs Tau

Possession: 47% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group E

Tau vs Terranuova Traiana

Possession: 52% - 55% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Oct 16, 2022 Serie D - Group E

Terranuova Traiana vs Tau

Possession: 44% - 46% Cards: 3 - 1

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Terranuova Traiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Fantoni G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Tau Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Terranuova Traiana 32 / 100

Tau 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Terranuova Traiana Tau

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Terranuova Traiana found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Tau conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Terranuova Traiana has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Terranuova Traiana VS Tau

0.75 Goals Scored 0.88

0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13

50% Over 1.5 50%

13% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Grosseto	34	22	6	6	58:25	72
2	Tau	34	18	9	7	53:33	63
3	Prato	34	20	5	9	49:29	63
4	Siena	34	17	9	8	57:35	60
5	Seravezza Pozzi	34	15	12	7	42:29	57
6	Terranuova Traiana	34	14	9	11	28:30	51
7	Foligno	34	14	9	11	45:37	51
8	Scandicci	34	11	15	8	39:32	48
9	Montevarchi	34	10	16	8	28:32	46
10	Sporting Trestina	34	10	12	12	40:42	42
11	San Donato Tavarnelle	34	9	13	12	30:35	40
12	Ghiviborgo	34	10	10	14	42:44	40
13	Orvietana	34	9	11	14	33:37	38
14	Follonica Gavorrano	34	9	10	15	36:49	37
15	Camaiore Calcio	34	9	8	17	41:54	35
16	Poggibonsi	34	7	10	17	29:46	31
17	Cannara	34	6	8	20	24:59	26
18	Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	34	2	16	16	20:46	22