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Tertnes vs Austevoll

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 7
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austevoll in this Division 3 - Group 7 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Austevoll.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Tertnes
20%
Draws
40%
Austevoll
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tertnes haven't matched Austevoll's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tertnes a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Austevoll have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Tertnes Clean Sheet 14%
Austevoll Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tertnes Austevoll
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.79
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Tertnes vs Austevoll
3:4
Apr 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Tertnes
3:2
Oct 24, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Tertnes vs Austevoll
2:1
Jun 27, 2015 Division 3 - Group 7
Austevoll vs Tertnes
2:0
Sep 1, 2012 Division 3 - Group 7
Tertnes vs Austevoll
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tertnes 66 / 100
Austevoll 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tertnes Austevoll

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tertnes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Tertnes's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Austevoll has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Tertnes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Austevoll
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 3.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Tertnes

(Home)
27 Oct
Tertnes
3 : 2
Oystese
20 Oct
Sogndal 2
1 : 0
Tertnes
13 Oct
Sotra
4 : 3
Tertnes
06 Oct
Tertnes
1 : 0
Viking 2
29 Sept
Brodd
3 : 3
Tertnes
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Austevoll

(Away)
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 3
Askoy
12 Sept
Djerv 1919
5 : 2
Austevoll
05 Sept
Austevoll
2 : 2
Varegg
30 Aug
Fyllingsdalen
0 : 1
Austevoll
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