Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2023/2024

FCP Parnu

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tervis Parnu play FCP Parnu in the Estonian Cup 2023/2024. Tervis Parnu are favorites here. Recently, Tervis Parnu averaged 2.23 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. FCP Parnu averaged 1.44 goals scored and 5.89 conceded. In past meetings, Tervis Parnu won 1, FCP Parnu won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jul 26, 2023 ended 8:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 4.00 for Tervis Parnu and 1.25 for FCP Parnu. This points to a Tervis Parnu double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%

Tervis Parnu

17%

Draws

14%

FCP Parnu

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Tervis Parnu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Tervis Parnu picked up more points recently compared to FCP Parnu.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (4.00 vs 1.25 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%

Over 1.5 Goals 85%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 48%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Tervis Parnu Clean Sheet 19%

FCP Parnu Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 77%

Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Tervis Parnu	FCP Parnu
Matches Played	30	9
Wins	12	1
Draws	7	0
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	2.23	1.44
Goals Conceded	1.57	5.89
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	5.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2023 Estonian Cup

Tervis Parnu vs FCP Parnu

Possession: 56% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

8:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tervis Parnu 66 / 100

FCP Parnu 15 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Tervis Parnu FCP Parnu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tervis Parnu Win (1)

Secondary Pick Tervis Parnu & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.2%

1.64

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8%

1.35

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Tervis Parnu attacking → ← attacking FCP Parnu

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tervis Parnu scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

FCP Parnu let in goals in 100% of their last 9 matches.

Games between these two average 11.00 goals.

Tervis Parnu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

FCP Parnu lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 3

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.63