Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Tervis Parnu vs Merkuur-Juunior

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2005
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Tervis Parnu in this Esiliiga 2005 matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tervis Parnu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Tervis Parnu
6%
Draws
4%
Merkuur-Juunior
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tervis Parnu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Merkuur-Juunior haven't matched Tervis Parnu's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Tervis Parnu a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Tervis Parnu here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Tervis Parnu Clean Sheet 20%
Merkuur-Juunior Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Tervis Parnu Merkuur-Juunior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 23
Goals Scored 2.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2005 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs Merkuur-Juunior
4:2
Aug 20, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs Tervis Parnu
0:3
May 28, 2005 Esiliiga
Tervis Parnu vs Merkuur-Juunior
0:0
Apr 9, 2005 Esiliiga
Merkuur-Juunior vs Tervis Parnu
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Tervis Parnu 85 / 100
Merkuur-Juunior 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Tervis Parnu Merkuur-Juunior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TER Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Merkuur-Juunior has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tervis Parnu scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Merkuur-Juunior's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Tervis Parnu VS Merkuur-Juunior
2.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Tervis Parnu

(Home)
22 Aug
Elva
5 : 2
Tervis Parnu
26 Jul
Tervis Parnu
8 : 3
FCP Parnu
05 Nov
Tervis Parnu
1 : 3
Lelle
29 Oct
Levadia U21
1 : 0
Tervis Parnu
25 Oct
Tervis Parnu
5 : 0
TVMK Tallinn II
Page 1 of 6

Merkuur-Juunior

(Away)
05 Nov
Merkuur-Juunior
0 : 7
Parnu Linnameeskond
29 Oct
JK Jalgpallihaigla
3 : 1
Merkuur-Juunior
25 Oct
Merkuur-Juunior
0 : 4
Lelle
22 Oct
Levadia U21
5 : 0
Merkuur-Juunior
15 Oct
Merkuur-Juunior
1 : 2
TVMK Tallinn II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Parnu Linnameeskond36266492:3984
2Levadia U21362646104:3182
3Lasnamae362385111:3077
4Tallinna Kalev36189985:7163
5Tervis Parnu361491373:5351
6TVMK Tallinn II361251951:8041
7Elva361062042:7136
8Lelle361112449:10034
9JK Jalgpallihaigla36942338:10031
10Merkuur-Juunior36262827:9712
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2006 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2005 (Relegation)