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Teteks vs Vardar Negotino

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Teteks in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teteks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Teteks
6%
Draws
4%
Vardar Negotino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Teteks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Teteks have won more games recently than Vardar Negotino.
  • Model gives Teteks a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Teteks Clean Sheet 68%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teteks Vardar Negotino
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 5
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 3.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 2. MFL
Teteks vs Vardar Negotino
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Teteks
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 2. MFL
Teteks vs Vardar Negotino
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Teteks
0:0
May 13, 2017 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Teteks
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teteks 95 / 100
Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teteks Vardar Negotino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TET Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teteks's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Vardar Negotino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Teteks went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Teteks VS Vardar Negotino
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bregalnica Stip30225372:1771
2FK Skopje30232572:2071
3Shkendija Haracine30216367:1969
4Ohrid30215478:1768
5Belasica Strumica30184857:2158
6Osogovo30166853:2754
7Novaci30156947:3151
8Detonit Plackovica30147952:2849
9Kozuf Gevgelija30129950:2645
10Teteks301331456:4442
11Kamenica Sasa30991247:5336
12Vardar Negotino30642037:9522
13Sloga Vinica30432331:8415
14Prespa30502530:7615
15Pobeda30322519:11711
16Golemo Konjari30212717:1107