Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teteks vs Vardar Negotino

North Macedonia North Macedonia

2. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Teteks in this 2. MFL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Teteks.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Teteks
20%
Draws
48%
Vardar Negotino
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vardar Negotino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Teteks have won more games recently than Vardar Negotino.
  • Model gives Teteks a 32% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Teteks Clean Sheet 68%
Vardar Negotino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teteks Vardar Negotino
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 20
Goals Scored 1.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.43 3.48
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 2. MFL
Teteks vs Vardar Negotino
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Teteks
2:1
Apr 13, 2024 2. MFL
Teteks vs Vardar Negotino
1:2
Oct 21, 2023 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Teteks
0:0
May 13, 2017 2. MFL
Vardar Negotino vs Teteks
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teteks 95 / 100
Vardar Negotino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teteks Vardar Negotino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teteks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vardar Negotino's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

Teteks's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Vardar Negotino lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Teteks VS Vardar Negotino
3.25 Goals Scored 1.6
1.25 Goals Conceded 4.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Teteks

(Home)
24 Sept
Teteks
0 : 1
Rabotnicki
19 Sept
Teteks
0 : 0
Osogovo
13 Sept
Belasica Strumica
2 : 2
Teteks
09 Sept
Teteks
1 : 4
Bregalnica Stip
05 Sept
Teteks
0 : 3
Ohrid
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Vardar Negotino

(Away)
23 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 5
Kozuf Gevgelija
16 May
Pobeda
3 : 5
Vardar Negotino
10 May
Vardar Negotino
0 : 4
Osogovo
02 May
Shkendija Haracine
8 : 2
Vardar Negotino
25 Apr
Vardar Negotino
1 : 4
Belasica Strumica
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bregalnica Stip 30 22 5 3 72:17 71
2 FK Skopje 30 23 2 5 72:20 71
3 Shkendija Haracine 30 21 6 3 67:19 69
4 Ohrid 30 21 5 4 78:17 68
5 Belasica Strumica 30 18 4 8 57:21 58
6 Osogovo 30 16 6 8 53:27 54
7 Novaci 30 15 6 9 47:31 51
8 Detonit Plackovica 30 14 7 9 52:28 49
9 Kozuf Gevgelija 30 12 9 9 50:26 45
10 Teteks 30 13 3 14 56:44 42
11 Kamenica Sasa 30 9 9 12 47:53 36
12 Vardar Negotino 30 6 4 20 37:95 22
13 Sloga Vinica 30 4 3 23 31:84 15
14 Prespa 30 5 0 25 30:76 15
15 Pobeda 30 3 2 25 19:117 11
16 Golemo Konjari 30 2 1 27 17:110 7
Promotion - 1. MFL (Main)
Promotion - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)