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Teungueth vs ASC HLM

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Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Teungueth and ASC HLM finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Teungueth.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Teungueth
35%
Draws
21%
ASC HLM
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Teungueth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Teungueth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Teungueth taking it.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Teungueth here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.4%
Teungueth Clean Sheet 68%
ASC HLM Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teungueth ASC HLM
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 15 18
Losses 2 7
Goals Scored 0.72 0.6
Goals Conceded 0.19 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ligue 1
Teungueth vs ASC HLM
1:0
Dec 28, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Teungueth
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Ligue 1
ASC HLM vs Teungueth
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Ligue 1
Teungueth vs ASC HLM
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teungueth 77 / 100
ASC HLM 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teungueth ASC HLM

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teungueth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teungueth has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Attacking prowess: Teungueth scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

ASC HLM let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Teungueth VS ASC HLM
0.63 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
13% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Teungueth

(Home)
13 Sept
Teungueth
1 : 0
Canchungo
05 Sept
Canchungo
0 : 1
Teungueth
04 Jun
Guediawaye
0 : 1
Teungueth
22 May
Dakar Sacre-Coeur
0 : 0
Teungueth
17 May
Teungueth
2 : 0
Mbour
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ASC HLM

(Away)
04 Jun
ASC HLM
2 : 1
Pikine
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
ASC HLM
0 : 1
Generation Foot
13 May
ASC HLM
0 : 0
Linguere
10 May
US Goree
1 : 1
ASC HLM
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)