Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Teuta vs KF Egnatia

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup Stadiumi Niko Dovana, Durrës
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Fangaj A.
11' Event
Arifi E.
28'
Wotlai D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Teuta
35%
Draws
25%
KF Egnatia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Teuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Teuta haven't matched KF Egnatia's recent run of results.
  • Teuta are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • KF Egnatia arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor KF Egnatia, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Teuta Clean Sheet 68%
KF Egnatia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Teuta KF Egnatia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 11 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.9 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs KF Egnatia
3:2
Mar 9, 2026 Abissnet Superiore
KF Egnatia vs Teuta
4:2
Mar 4, 2026 Albanian Cup
KF Egnatia vs Teuta
0:0
Feb 10, 2026 Albanian Cup
Teuta vs KF Egnatia
1:2
Dec 23, 2025 Abissnet Superiore
Teuta vs KF Egnatia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Teuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Arifi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

KF Egnatia Compare

Top Goalscorer Adjessa D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kryeziu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.29
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Teuta 51 / 100
KF Egnatia 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Teuta KF Egnatia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teuta scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

KF Egnatia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Teuta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Teuta VS KF Egnatia
1 Goals Scored 2.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.25
43% Over 1.5 100%
14% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Teuta

(Home)
01 Aug
Teuta
1 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
15 Jul
Hapoel Haifa
1 : 1
Teuta
11 Jul
Lok. Sofia
0 : 0
Teuta
10 Jul
Ludogorets
1 : 0
Teuta
16 May
Teuta
1 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 6

KF Egnatia

(Away)
04 Aug
Shamrock Rovers
3 : 1
KF Egnatia
28 Jul
Celje
3 : 2
KF Egnatia
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3
Celje
15 Jul
KF Egnatia
6 : 1
Petrocub Hincesti
08 Jul
Petrocub Hincesti
1 : 1
KF Egnatia
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2