Sport Picks
Match Events
41'
41'
Njaliwa L.
44'
44'
Mondlane S.
88'
88'
Nogueira B.
AI Match Summary
The Mocambola 2025 game between Textafrica and Costa do Sol finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
44%
20%
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ Medium Confidence
- Costa do Sol carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Textafrica Clean Sheet 20%
Costa do Sol Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Textafrica | Costa do Sol |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 5 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.2 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.20 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 24, 2025 Mocambola
Textafrica vs Costa do Sol
2:2
May 18, 2025 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Textafrica
0:0
Sep 14, 2024 Mocambola
Textafrica vs Costa do Sol
0:2
May 20, 2024 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Textafrica
4:1
Oct 23, 2021 Mocambola
Costa do Sol vs Textafrica
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Textafrica Compare
Top Goalscorer Mondlane S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Izeh
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.15
Avg xA / game 0.1
Costa do Sol Compare
Top Goalscorer Njaliwa L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Nogueira B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Textafrica 36 / 100
Costa do Sol 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Textafrica Costa do Sol
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick COS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Textafrica scored in 44% of their last 27 games.
Defensive concern: Costa do Sol conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Textafrica went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Textafrica VS Costa do Sol
0.2 Goals Scored 1
1.2 Goals Conceded 0.88
20% Over 1.5 50%
20% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Textafrica
(Home) 07 Dec
Ferroviario Beira
1 : 0 Textafrica
27 Nov
UD Songo
5 : 1 Textafrica
23 Nov
Textafrica
3 : 1 Desportivo de Nacala
13 Nov
Textafrica
0 : 2 ENH Vilankulo
09 Nov
Textafrica
0 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
Page 1 of 6
23 Nov
Textafrica
3 : 1 Desportivo de Nacala
13 Nov
Textafrica
0 : 2 ENH Vilankulo
09 Nov
Textafrica
0 : 0 Ferroviario Maputo
28 Sept
Textafrica
1 : 0 Ferroviario Nacala
24 Sept
Textafrica
2 : 2 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 3
Costa do Sol
(Away) 19 Jul
Costa do Sol
2 : 1 ENH Vilankulo
26 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1 Costa do Sol
20 Jun
Costa do Sol
2 : 2 UD Songo
16 Jun
Costa do Sol
1 : 0 Chingale de Tete
20 May
Sofala
1 : 1 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 6
26 Jun
Ferroviario Lichinga
2 : 1 Costa do Sol
20 May
Sofala
1 : 1 Costa do Sol
17 May
Ferroviario Beira
1 : 0 Costa do Sol
12 May
Associacao Black Bulls
0 : 0 Costa do Sol
04 May
Maxaquene
1 : 4 Costa do Sol
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD Songo | 22 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 50:13 | 57 |
| 2 | Associacao Black Bulls | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 35:26 | 39 |
| 3 | Ferroviario Beira | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 19:13 | 37 |
| 4 | Ferroviario Lichinga | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 38:31 | 34 |
| 5 | Ferroviario Maputo | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 25:18 | 33 |
| 6 | Baia de Pemba | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 24:21 | 32 |
| 7 | ENH Vilankulo | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 22:21 | 31 |
| 8 | Costa do Sol | 23 | 7 | 10 | 6 | 18:18 | 31 |
| 9 | Ferroviario Nacala | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 16:17 | 31 |
| 10 | Chingale de Tete | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 22:21 | 27 |
| 11 | Ferroviario Nampula | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 21:29 | 26 |
| 12 | Textafrica | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 15:30 | 20 |
| 13 | Desportivo de Nacala | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13:31 | 12 |
| 14 | Desportivo Matola | 22 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11:40 | 10 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)