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TFC Academy vs Dayton Prediction & H2H Stats

USA USA

USL Premier Development League 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

TFC Academy in this USL Premier Development League 2016 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored TFC Academy.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
TFC Academy
15%
Draws
51%
Dayton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dayton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Dayton have won more games recently than TFC Academy.
  • Dayton are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
TFC Academy Clean Sheet 20%
Dayton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric TFC Academy Dayton
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.17 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.4 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2016 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Dayton
4:1
Jun 25, 2016 USL League Two
Dayton vs TFC Academy
2:2
Jun 20, 2015 USL League Two
Dayton vs TFC Academy
2:1
Jun 13, 2015 USL League Two
TFC Academy vs Dayton
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

TFC Academy 10 / 100
Dayton 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
TFC Academy Dayton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dayton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

TFC Academy scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Dayton let in goals in 79% of their last 34 matches.

Difficult form: Dayton registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Dayton
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

TFC Academy

(Home)
15 Jul
TFC Academy
4 : 1
Dayton
12 Jul
TFC Academy
0 : 3
Flint City
06 Jul
Kitchener-Waterloo United FC
3 : 1
TFC Academy
26 Jun
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 2
2 : 0
TFC Academy
25 Jun
Dayton
2 : 2
TFC Academy
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Dayton

(Away)
12 Jul
Northern Indiana
3 : 2
Dayton
09 Jul
Dayton
1 : 0
West Virginia
06 Jul
Kings Hammer Columbus
2 : 1
Dayton
27 Jun
West Virginia
2 : 1
Dayton
23 Jun
Toledo Villa
0 : 1
Dayton
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