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Stadium Background

Thailand U19 vs Australia U19

Asia Asia

ASEAN Championship U19 North Sumatra Stadium, Medan
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Garbowski A.
90' Event
Baker B.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-2. This leg finished 0-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Thailand U19
15%
Draws
44%
Australia U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Australia U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Australia U19 have won more games recently than Thailand U19.
  • 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Australia U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Australia U19, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Thailand U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Australia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U19 Australia U19
Matches Played 33 25
Wins 17 19
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 2.76 3.12
Goals Conceded 1 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 ASEAN Championship U19
Thailand U19 vs Australia U19
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 ASEAN Championship U19
Australia U19 vs Thailand U19
0:1
Aug 11, 2019 ASEAN Championship U19
Australia U19 vs Thailand U19
3:1
Sep 24, 2016 ASEAN Championship U19
Australia U19 vs Thailand U19
5:1
Sep 18, 2016 ASEAN Championship U19
Australia U19 vs Thailand U19
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Australia U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Garbowski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baker B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U19 41 / 100
Australia U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U19 Australia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Thailand U19 scored in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Australia U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.

Thailand U19 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U19 VS Australia U19
2.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Thailand U19
0 : 2
Australia U19
11 Jun
Thailand U19
4 : 0
Cambodia U19
08 Jun
Thailand U19
3 : 2
Malaysia U19
05 Jun
Singapore U19
0 : 4
Thailand U19
02 Jun
Thailand U19
9 : 0
Brunei U19
Page 1 of 7

Australia U19

(Away)
13 Jun
Thailand U19
0 : 2
Australia U19
11 Jun
Indonesia U19
0 : 1
Australia U19
09 Jun
Australia U19
2 : 2
Cambodia U19
03 Jun
Philippines U19
0 : 10
Australia U19
29 Jul
Australia U19
2 : 1
Malaysia U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Thailand U19 4
Cambodia U19 0
Indonesia U19 0
Australia U19 1
Final
Thailand U19 0
Australia U19 2
Cambodia U19 0
Indonesia U19 1