Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thailand U20 W vs Japan U20 W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Sat, Aug 2, 2025
VS
09:45 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Thailand U20 W play Japan U20 W in the Friendly International Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Thailand U20 W averaged 3.27 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. Japan U20 W averaged 3.59 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. In past meetings, Thailand U20 W won 0, Japan U20 W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 2, 2025 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Thailand U20 W and 3.63 for Japan U20 W. This points to a Japan U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Thailand U20 W
15%
Draws
46%
Japan U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Thailand U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Japan U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 3.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 66%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 87%
Over 1.5 Goals 78%
Over 2.5 Goals 66%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Thailand U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U20 W Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 70%
Second Half Goal 74%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U20 W Japan U20 W
Matches Played 11 29
Wins 7 23
Draws 0 1
Losses 4 5
Goals Scored 3.27 3.59
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 6.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2025 Friendly International Women
Thailand U20 W vs Japan U20 W
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U20 W 37 / 100
Japan U20 W 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U20 W Japan U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Japan U20 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26%
3.23
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.2%
1.67
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Thailand U20 W attacking → ← attacking Japan U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U20 W scored in 82% of their last 11 games.

Japan U20 W let in goals in 48% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Thailand U20 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Japan U20 W lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 70
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 6.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.25