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Thailand U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Toyota Stadium, Toyota City
Thailand U23 Logo

Thailand U23

3 - 2
FT
Kyrgyzstan U23 Logo

Kyrgyzstan U23

Our Tip

Match Events

19'
Nematov S.
23' Event
Iskandarbekov K.
47' Event
Balbakov A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Asian Games game between Thailand U23 and Kyrgyzstan U23 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thailand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Thailand U23
15%
Draws
46%
Kyrgyzstan U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kyrgyzstan U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Thailand U23 haven't matched Kyrgyzstan U23's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Thailand U23 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Kyrgyzstan U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U23 Kyrgyzstan U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.57 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Asian Games
Thailand U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23
3:2
Jun 3, 2026 Friendly International
Thailand U23 vs Kyrgyzstan U23
1:1
Dec 2, 2006 Asian Games
Kyrgyzstan U23 vs Thailand U23
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wongsa P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mamah J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Kyrgyzstan U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Iskandarbekov K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balbakov A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U23 36 / 100
Kyrgyzstan U23 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U23 Kyrgyzstan U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kyrgyzstan U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U23's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Kyrgyzstan U23 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Thailand U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U23 VS Kyrgyzstan U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U23

(Home)
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6

Kyrgyzstan U23

(Away)
23 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
4 : 0
Hong Kong U23
20 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U23
0 : 7
Japan U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
South Korea U23
0 : 1
Kyrgyzstan U23
06 Jun
Kyrgyzstan U23
1 : 1
United Arab Emirates U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Thailand U23 3 2 0 1 8:6 6
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 3 1 0 2 6:10 3
4 Hong Kong U23 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 North Korea U23 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Iran U23 3 1 1 1 4:5 4
4 United Arab Emirates U23 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Vietnam U23 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Philippines U23 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Kuwait U23 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Saudi Arabia U23 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Qatar U23 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - Asian Games (Play Offs)