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Thailand U23 vs Vietnam U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International Xi'an International Football Center (Fengdong Stadium), Xi'an
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Chotmuangpak T.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Thailand U23 and Vietnam U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thailand U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Thailand U23
15%
Draws
34%
Vietnam U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thailand U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vietnam U23 come out ahead of Thailand U23 on wins alone.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Thailand U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Vietnam U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand U23 Vietnam U23
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.61 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Friendly International
Thailand U23 vs Vietnam U23
1:0
Jun 2, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U23
Thailand U23 vs Vietnam U23
2:2
May 22, 2022 Southeast Asian Games
Vietnam U23 vs Thailand U23
1:0
Feb 26, 2022 ASEAN Championship U23
Thailand U23 vs Vietnam U23
0:1
Feb 22, 2022 ASEAN Championship U23
Vietnam U23 vs Thailand U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Chotmuangpak T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vietnam U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand U23 41 / 100
Vietnam U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand U23 Vietnam U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thailand U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand U23 found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Vietnam U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Vietnam U23 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thailand U23 VS Vietnam U23
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand U23

(Home)
26 Sept
China U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
23 Sept
Japan U23
3 : 0
Thailand U23
20 Sept
Hong Kong U23
1 : 5
Thailand U23
16 Sept
Thailand U23
3 : 2
Kyrgyzstan U23
09 Jun
Thailand U23
2 : 5
United Arab Emirates U23
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Vietnam U23

(Away)
25 Sept
South Korea U23
4 : 0
Vietnam U23
22 Sept
Vietnam U23
0 : 2
Uzbekistan U23
18 Sept
Philippines U23
0 : 2
Vietnam U23
15 Sept
Vietnam U23
1 : 1
Kuwait U23
31 Mar
China U23
1 : 0
Vietnam U23
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