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Thailand W vs Chinese Taipei W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Games Women Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa, Shizuoka
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Match Events

40'
Sub
Phomsri K. In: Peng-ngam S.
Out: Phomsri K.
40'
Sub
Jinantuya J. In: Meekham S.
Out: Jinantuya J.
46'
Sub
Chetthabutr K. In: Kwaenkasikarm W.
Out: Chetthabutr K.

AI Match Summary

Chinese Taipei W in this Asian Games Women matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chinese Taipei W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Thailand W
20%
Draws
44%
Chinese Taipei W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chinese Taipei W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Thailand W average 2.52 goals a game right now, well clear of Chinese Taipei W's 1.97.
  • Model gives Chinese Taipei W a 44% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 10%
Chinese Taipei W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand W Chinese Taipei W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 16 16
Draws 3 0
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 2.52 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Chinese Taipei W
0:1
Aug 4, 2024 Friendly International Women
Thailand W vs Chinese Taipei W
2:1
Sep 27, 2023 Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Chinese Taipei W
0:1
Jan 18, 2023 Friendly International Women
Thailand W vs Chinese Taipei W
2:0
Feb 4, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Chinese Taipei W vs Thailand W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Chinese Taipei W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tanaka M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand W 10 / 100
Chinese Taipei W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand W Chinese Taipei W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chinese Taipei W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Thailand W scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Chinese Taipei W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Thailand W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thailand W VS Chinese Taipei W
1.38 Goals Scored 3.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand W

(Home)
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
Page 1 of 7

Chinese Taipei W

(Away)
25 Sept
North Korea W
5 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
21 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Chinese Taipei W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Chinese Taipei W
2 : 1
Vietnam W
09 Jun
South Korea W
5 : 3
Chinese Taipei W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan W 3 3 0 0 20:0 9
2 Chinese Taipei W 3 2 0 1 3:5 6
3 Vietnam W 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
4 Thailand W 3 0 1 2 0:9 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea W 3 2 1 0 19:1 7
2 South Korea W 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
3 Myanmar W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Bangladesh W 3 0 1 2 0:16 1
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Uzbekistan W 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Philippines W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
4 Hong Kong W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Asian Games Women (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams