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Thailand W vs Philippines W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Southeast Asian Games Women
Sun, Dec 14, 2025
1 - 2
11:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Mongkoldee J.
87' Event
Guy J.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Guy J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Thailand W
30%
Draws
41%
Philippines W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Philippines W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Thailand W average 2.6 goals a game right now, well clear of Philippines W's 1.83.
  • Win probability leans Thailand W's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Philippines W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Thailand W Clean Sheet 20%
Philippines W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thailand W Philippines W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 3 3
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 2.6 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Philippines W
1:2
Jul 17, 2022 ASEAN Championship Women
Thailand W vs Philippines W
0:3
Jul 12, 2022 ASEAN Championship Women
Thailand W vs Philippines W
1:0
May 18, 2022 Southeast Asian Games Women
Thailand W vs Philippines W
3:0
Jan 21, 2022 Asian Cup Women
Thailand W vs Philippines W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thailand W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mongkoldee J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Philippines W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thailand W 42 / 100
Philippines W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thailand W Philippines W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thailand W's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Thailand W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Philippines W let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Thailand W VS Philippines W
1.14 Goals Scored 0.88
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Thailand W

(Home)
21 Sept
Vietnam W
0 : 0
Thailand W
17 Sept
Thailand W
0 : 1
Chinese Taipei W
14 Sept
Japan W
8 : 0
Thailand W
09 Jun
Myanmar W
1 : 1
Thailand W
06 Jun
Thailand W
1 : 0
Uzbekistan W
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Philippines W

(Away)
25 Sept
Japan W
4 : 0
Philippines W
21 Sept
China W
5 : 1
Philippines W
17 Sept
Hong Kong W
0 : 2
Philippines W
14 Sept
Philippines W
1 : 1
Uzbekistan W
09 Jun
Albion San Diego W
0 : 2
Philippines W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Vietnam W 5
Indonesia W 0
Thailand W 1
Philippines W 2
Final
Vietnam W 0
Philippines W 1
Indonesia W 0
Thailand W 2