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Thalwil vs FC Widnau - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil Logo

Thalwil

Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
FC Widnau Logo

FC Widnau

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Thalwil host FC Widnau in the 1.Liga Classic Group 3. This one's hard to separate. FC Widnau have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Thalwil have conceded 2.55 and scored 1.17. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (1.94 xG vs 1.19) point toward Thalwil. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Thalwil
30%
Draws
12%
FC Widnau
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thalwil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Thalwil have won more games recently than FC Widnau.
  • Win probability leans Thalwil's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 1.Liga Classic Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 20%
FC Widnau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thalwil FC Widnau
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 6
Draws 5 7
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 1.17 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thalwil 85 / 100
FC Widnau 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thalwil FC Widnau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thalwil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Widnau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Thalwil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

FC Widnau lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Thalwil scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Thalwil VS FC Widnau
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thalwil

(Home)
24 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 1
Gossau
17 Oct
Muttenz
4 : 1
Thalwil
10 Oct
Taverne
2 : 0
Thalwil
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
Page 1 of 6

FC Widnau

(Away)
24 Oct
Baden
6 : 0
FC Widnau
18 Oct
FC Widnau
0 : 2
Buochs
11 Oct
FC Widnau
4 : 4
Eschen/Mauren
03 Oct
Gossau
4 : 1
FC Widnau
27 Sept
FC Widnau
0 : 1
Freienbach
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 11 8 1 2 24:18 25
2 Tuggen 11 7 3 1 26:13 24
3 Taverne 11 6 3 2 27:14 21
4 Baden 11 6 1 4 27:17 19
5 Thalwil 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
6 Collina d'Oro 11 5 3 3 13:12 18
7 Kosova 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
8 Dietikon 11 4 2 5 14:16 14
9 Gossau 11 4 2 5 16:21 14
10 Wettswil-Bonstetten 11 3 3 5 14:16 12
11 Eschen/Mauren 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
12 Locarno 11 2 5 4 12:13 11
13 Freienbach 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Mendrisio 11 1 6 4 11:15 9
15 Winterthur II 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
16 FC Widnau 11 1 3 7 8:27 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)