Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thalwil vs Freienbach

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 game between Thalwil and Freienbach finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thalwil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Thalwil
35%
Draws
19%
Freienbach
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Thalwil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Thalwil have managed 1.27 goals a game lately — Freienbach are scoring more at 1.65.
  • Win probability leans Thalwil's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 13%
Freienbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thalwil Freienbach
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 8
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.27 1.65
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Freienbach
3:0
May 21, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Thalwil
3:2
Nov 13, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Freienbach
2:1
Jul 31, 2011 Swiss Cup
Thalwil vs Freienbach
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thalwil 57 / 100
Freienbach 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thalwil Freienbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thalwil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freienbach's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Thalwil scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Thalwil stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thalwil VS Freienbach
1.29 Goals Scored 1.63
1.71 Goals Conceded 2
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thalwil

(Home)
29 Aug
Eschen/Mauren
0 : 0
Thalwil
23 Aug
Thalwil
3 : 0
Freienbach
19 Aug
Winterthur II
2 : 0
Thalwil
16 Aug
Thalwil
0 : 3
St. Gallen
08 Aug
Thalwil
2 : 1
Collina d'Oro
Page 1 of 6

Freienbach

(Away)
29 Aug
Freienbach
3 : 3
Kosova
23 Aug
Thalwil
3 : 0
Freienbach
14 Aug
Freienbach
2 : 2
Baden
09 Aug
Gossau
0 : 0
Freienbach
24 Jun
Freienbach
1 : 3
Rapperswil-Jona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuggen 4 4 0 0 12:4 12
2 Baden 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
3 Thalwil 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
4 Dietikon 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
5 St. Gallen II 4 2 1 1 7:8 7
6 Winterthur II 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
7 Kosova 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
8 Gossau 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
9 Collina d'Oro 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
10 Taverne 4 1 1 2 8:9 4
11 Wettswil-Bonstetten 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
12 Eschen/Mauren 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
13 Mendrisio 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
14 Freienbach 4 0 3 1 5:8 3
15 Locarno 4 0 1 3 6:9 1
16 FC Widnau 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)