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Thalwil vs Freienbach - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil Logo

Thalwil

3 - 0
FT
Freienbach Logo

Freienbach

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1.Liga Classic Group 3 game between Thalwil and Freienbach finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thalwil.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Thalwil
30%
Draws
41%
Freienbach
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Freienbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Freienbach come out ahead of Thalwil on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Freienbach's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 16%
Freienbach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thalwil Freienbach
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.44
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Freienbach
3:0
May 21, 2022 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Freienbach vs Thalwil
3:2
Nov 13, 2021 1.Liga Classic Group 3
Thalwil vs Freienbach
2:1
Jul 31, 2011 Swiss Cup
Thalwil vs Freienbach
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thalwil 28 / 100
Freienbach 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thalwil Freienbach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Freienbach Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Freienbach has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Thalwil has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Thalwil's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Thalwil VS Freienbach
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thalwil

(Home)
24 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 1
Gossau
17 Oct
Muttenz
4 : 1
Thalwil
10 Oct
Taverne
2 : 0
Thalwil
03 Oct
Thalwil
2 : 2
Locarno
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
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Freienbach

(Away)
24 Oct
Freienbach
1 : 2
Wettswil-Bonstetten
17 Oct
Freienbach
3 : 1
Wettswil-Bonstetten
10 Oct
St. Gallen II
1 : 0
Freienbach
07 Oct
Freienbach
0 : 0
Eschen/Mauren
27 Sept
FC Widnau
0 : 1
Freienbach
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Gallen II 11 8 1 2 24:18 25
2 Tuggen 11 7 3 1 26:13 24
3 Taverne 11 6 3 2 27:14 21
4 Baden 11 6 1 4 27:17 19
5 Thalwil 11 5 4 2 18:12 19
6 Collina d'Oro 11 5 3 3 13:12 18
7 Kosova 11 4 5 2 16:13 17
8 Dietikon 11 4 2 5 14:16 14
9 Gossau 11 4 2 5 16:21 14
10 Wettswil-Bonstetten 11 3 3 5 14:16 12
11 Eschen/Mauren 11 3 3 5 18:22 12
12 Locarno 11 2 5 4 12:13 11
13 Freienbach 11 2 4 5 12:17 10
14 Mendrisio 11 1 6 4 11:15 9
15 Winterthur II 11 3 0 8 11:21 9
16 FC Widnau 11 1 3 7 8:27 6
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)