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Thalwil vs St. Gallen Prediction & H2H Stats

Switzerland Switzerland

Swiss Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Fazliji B.
64' Event
Frokaj L.
90' Event
Frokaj L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Thalwil
30%
Draws
28%
St. Gallen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Thalwil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and St. Gallen come out ahead of Thalwil on wins alone.
  • Thalwil are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • St. Gallen arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Gallen, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Thalwil Clean Sheet 14%
St. Gallen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thalwil St. Gallen
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 5 3
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.07 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Swiss Cup
Thalwil vs St. Gallen
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thalwil Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Gallen Compare

Top Goalscorer Frokaj L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fazliji B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thalwil 84 / 100
St. Gallen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thalwil St. Gallen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thalwil Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Gallen has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Thalwil has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

St. Gallen lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thalwil VS St. Gallen
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thalwil

(Home)
26 Sept
Dietikon
1 : 1
Thalwil
19 Sept
Thalwil
2 : 1
Tuggen
13 Sept
Wettswil-Bonstetten
1 : 1
Thalwil
05 Sept
Thalwil
5 : 1
St. Gallen II
29 Aug
Eschen/Mauren
0 : 0
Thalwil
Page 1 of 6

St. Gallen

(Away)
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
16 Sept
Lugano
4 : 1
St. Gallen
12 Sept
St. Gallen
0 : 3
Sion
06 Sept
Servette
0 : 2
St. Gallen
02 Sept
Grasshoppers
2 : 0
St. Gallen
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
FC Aesch 1
Langenthal 5
Meyrin 0
Xamax 1
FC Interlaken 1
Bulle 4
Rebstein 2
Wil 6
Koniz 3
Munsingen 1
Wiesendangen 0
Bruhl SG 6
CS Italien 1
Lausanne Ouchy 8
Collex-Bossy 0
Etoile-Carouge 2
Kaufdorf 0
Old Boys 5
Terre Sainte 0
Yverdon 5
Amical Saint-Prex 1
Stade Nyonnais 3
Courtetelle 1
Basel 6
Rotkreuz 4
Bellinzona 1
Bavois 0
Servette 7
Rorschach 2
Schaffhausen 4
FC Saxon-Sports 0
Thun 6
Biel 3
Aarau 4
Tuggen 1
Zurich 2
Young Fellows Juventus 1
Rapperswil-Jona 6
Thalwil 0
St. Gallen 3
Zurich City SC 1
Winterthur 3
Buochs 0
Luzern 3
Mutschellen 3
FC Winkeln SG 4
Kosova Neuchatel 0
Lausanne 6
Courrendlin-Courroux 0
Grenchen 1
Regensdorf 0
Grasshoppers 5
Pully 2
Genolier-Begnins 0
Vedeggio 1
Lugano 10
Taverne 2
Brunnen 1
Liestal 0
Young Boys 4
Cham 2
Kriens 0
Kerzers 1
Sion 6
1/16-finals
Langenthal -
Xamax -
Bulle -
Wil -
Koniz -
Bruhl SG -
Lausanne Ouchy -
Etoile-Carouge -
Old Boys -
Yverdon -
Stade Nyonnais -
Basel -
Rotkreuz -
Servette -
Schaffhausen -
Thun -
Aarau -
Zurich -
Rapperswil-Jona -
St. Gallen -
Winterthur -
Luzern -
FC Winkeln SG -
Lausanne -
Grenchen -
Grasshoppers -
Pully -
Lugano -
Taverne -
Young Boys -
Cham -
Sion -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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