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Thanh Hoa vs Gia Lai Prediction & H2H Stats

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 2025/2026 Thanh Hóa Stadium, Thanh Hóa
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Abdurakhmanov O.
Own Goal
17'
Tran Thanh Son
42' Event
Abdurakhmanov O.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this V.League 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Thanh Hoa
15%
Draws
42%
Gia Lai
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thanh Hoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Thanh Hoa haven't matched Gia Lai's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Thanh Hoa's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular V.League 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 19%
Gia Lai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thanh Hoa Gia Lai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 8
Losses 14 15
Goals Scored 1 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Gia Lai
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Thanh Hoa
1:1
Sep 13, 2025 Vietnamese Cup
Thanh Hoa vs Gia Lai
0:2
Mar 9, 2025 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Gia Lai
2:2
Oct 26, 2024 V.League 1
Gia Lai vs Thanh Hoa
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thanh Hoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Abdurakhmanov O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Gia Lai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thanh Hoa 36 / 100
Gia Lai 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thanh Hoa Gia Lai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gia Lai's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Thanh Hoa scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Gia Lai registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thanh Hoa VS Gia Lai
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Thanh Hoa

(Home)
19 Sept
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Binh Duong
11 Sept
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
2 : 1
Thanh Hoa
06 Sept
Thanh Hoa
3 : 2
Da Nang
07 Jun
Da Nang
4 : 0
Thanh Hoa
31 May
Thanh Hoa
0 : 2
Phu Dong Ninh Binh
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Gia Lai

(Away)
20 Sept
Gia Lai
2 : 3
Hung Yen
13 Sept
Gia Lai
1 : 3
Hai Phong
06 Sept
Nam Dinh
4 : 0
Gia Lai
07 Jun
Binh Duong
3 : 1
Gia Lai
31 May
Gia Lai
3 : 1
Hanoi FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cong An Ha Noi 26 20 4 2 58:22 64
2 Viettel 26 15 9 2 39:21 54
3 Phu Dong Ninh Binh 26 15 6 5 53:31 51
4 Hanoi FC 26 14 4 8 48:30 46
5 Ho Chi Minh 26 10 6 10 28:36 36
6 Nam Dinh 26 9 8 9 33:32 35
7 Hai Phong 26 9 5 12 37:36 32
8 Hong Linh Ha Tinh 26 7 8 11 15:29 29
9 Song Lam Nghe An 26 7 6 13 27:40 27
10 Gia Lai 26 6 8 12 24:37 26
11 Thanh Hoa 26 5 10 11 26:38 25
12 Da Nang 26 5 9 12 33:39 24
13 PVF-CAND 26 5 9 12 26:44 24
14 Binh Duong 26 6 6 14 31:43 24
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - V.League 1 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - V.League 2 (Main)