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Thanh Hoa vs Hanoi FC

Vietnam Vietnam

V.League 1 Thanh Hóa Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Nguyen Hai Long
38' Event
Nguyen Ngoc My
44'
Nguyen B.

AI Match Summary

The V.League 1 game between Thanh Hoa and Hanoi FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thanh Hoa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Thanh Hoa
6%
Draws
90%
Hanoi FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Hanoi FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Hanoi FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hanoi FC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular V.League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Thanh Hoa Clean Sheet 15%
Hanoi FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thanh Hoa Hanoi FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 16
Draws 11 4
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.13 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Hanoi FC
1:0
Sep 26, 2025 V.League 1
Hanoi FC vs Thanh Hoa
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 V.League 1
Hanoi FC vs Thanh Hoa
3:1
Nov 3, 2024 V.League 1
Thanh Hoa vs Hanoi FC
1:1
Jul 7, 2024 Vietnamese Cup
Thanh Hoa vs Hanoi FC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Thanh Hoa Compare

Top Goalscorer Nguyen Ngoc My
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Hanoi FC Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thanh Hoa 10 / 100
Hanoi FC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thanh Hoa Hanoi FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAN Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Thanh Hoa scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Hanoi FC conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Thanh Hoa stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thanh Hoa VS Hanoi FC
1.13 Goals Scored 2.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cong An Ha Noi26204258:2264
2Viettel26159239:2154
3Phu Dong Ninh Binh26156553:3151
4Hanoi FC26144848:3046
5Ho Chi Minh261061028:3636
6Nam Dinh2698933:3235
7Hai Phong26951237:3632
8Hong Linh Ha Tinh26781115:2929
9Song Lam Nghe An26761327:4027
10Gia Lai26681224:3726
11Thanh Hoa265101126:3825
12Da Nang26591233:3924
13PVF-CAND26591226:4424
14Binh Duong26661431:4324