Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Thatcham vs Melksham

England England

FA Trophy 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Melksham advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Thatcham
15%
Draws
85%
Melksham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Melksham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Melksham come out ahead of Thatcham on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Thatcham's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Melksham arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Melksham, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Thatcham Clean Sheet 19%
Melksham Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Thatcham Melksham
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 4
Losses 17 17
Goals Scored 1.39 1.16
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2018 FA Trophy
Thatcham vs Melksham
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Thatcham 40 / 100
Melksham 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Thatcham Melksham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thatcham Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Melksham let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Thatcham scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Melksham lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Thatcham VS Melksham
0.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Thatcham

(Home)
17 Sept
Thatcham
1 : 2
Evesham
09 Sept
Thatcham
2 : 3
Bristol Manor Farm
29 Jul
Thatcham
0 : 3
Hungerford
15 Jul
Thatcham
0 : 2
Maidenhead
24 Sept
Thatcham
0 : 3
AFC Dunstable
Page 1 of 6

Melksham

(Away)
29 Aug
Weymouth
5 : 1
Melksham
24 Jul
Melksham
2 : 1
Yate
11 Jul
Melksham
1 : 4
Yeovil
06 Sept
Portishead Town
4 : 0
Melksham
22 Jul
Melksham
0 : 2
Weston-super-Mare
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Basford Utd. -
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Peterborough Sports 2
Cambridge City 4
Rushall -
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Stafford -
Stamford 1
Belper Town 0
Loughborough Dynamo 2
Leek Town 5
Stourbridge -
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Kettering -
Stalybridge -
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Nantwich -
Buxton -
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King’s Lynn -
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
FC Wisbech Town 3
Corby 2
Yaxley 3
Frickley 3
Skelmersdale 1
Trafford 1
Ramsbottom Utd 2
AFC Mansfield 2
Soham 1
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Hednesford -
Pickering Town 3
Stocksbridge 0
Tadcaster Albion 1
Droylsden 3
Neots -
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Matlock -
Barwell -
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Coalville Town -
Lancaster -
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Marine -
Clitheroe 3
Pontefract Collieries 2
Colwyn Bay 0
Ossett United 6
Newcastle Town 2
Gresley 1
Lincoln Utd. 1
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic -
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Workington -
Marske United 4
Atherton Collieries 3
Radcliffe 2
Cleethorpes 3
Gainsborough -
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Tamworth -
Halesowen -
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Grantham Town -
Warrington Town -
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Kendal 1
Prescot Cables 5
Alvechurch -
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Stratford -
Redditch -
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Mickleover -
Witton Albion -
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Whitby -
St Ives Town -
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Farsley -
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Morpeth 3
Brighouse Town 4
Bedworth United -
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Spalding United 1
Carlton Town 4
South Shields -
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North Ferriby United -
Bamber Bridge -
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Hyde -
Brightlingsea -
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Cray Wanderers 0
Canvey Island 2
Ramsgate 2
Phoenix Sports 1
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Hornchurch -
Lewes -
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Westfield 2
Ashford Town 3
Farnborough -
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Merthyr Town -
Chipstead 2
Welwyn Garden 1
South Park 1
Berkhamsted Town 5
Kingstonian -
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Tilbury 1
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers -
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Grays 2
Sevenoaks 4
Whyteleafe 4
Hastings 2
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Tonbridge -
Hendon -
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Staines -
Harrow Borough -
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Biggleswade Town -
Basingstoke -
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Wimborne -
Lowestoft -
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Enfield Town -
Royston Town -
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Chalfont St Peter 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Bristol Manor Farm 1
Paulton Rovers 0
Larkhall 0
Thame United 1
Horsham FC 3
Ware 1
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Corinthian-Casuals -
Margate -
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Potters -
Brentwood 4
Marlow 1
Bedfont Sports 1
Whitstable Town 4
Frome Town -
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Poole Town -
Herne Bay 2
Aylesbury Vale 1
AFC Dunstable 0
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley -
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Needham Market -
Leiston -
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Hanwell Town 1
VCD Athletic 3
Thatcham 2
Cirencester 0
Slimbridge 2
Melksham 3
Salisbury -
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Barnstaple Town 1
Fleet Town 2
East Grinstead Town 1
Great Wakering 0
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Merstham -
Swindon Supermarine -
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Banbury -
Hitchin -
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Barking 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police -
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Carshalton -
Whitehawk -
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Harlow -
Weymouth -
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Taunton Town -
Cinderford Town 5
Moneyfields 0
Bideford 2
Street 3
Yate 1
Blackfield & Langley 0
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Dorchester -
Gosport Borough -
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North Leigh 2
AFC Totton 6
Aveley 2
Basildon 1
Northwood 0
Dunstable Town 2
Kempston 3
Dereham 1
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Beaconsfield Town -
Burgess Hill -
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Worthing FC -
Haringey Borough -
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Chesham -
Walton Casuals -
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Three Bridges 0
Molesey 1
Bracknell Town 3
Haywards Heath 2
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Bognor Regis -
Folkestone -
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Leatherhead -
Didcot 2
Hertford Town 1
Kidlington 0
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Egham Town 1
Aylesbury United 2
Mildenhall 3
Hythe 2
Romania 0
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Hartley Wintney -
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Tiverton -
Sittingbourne 2
Faversham 0
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Semi-finals
Basford Utd. 2
Cambridge City 1
Rushall 1
Stafford 2
Stamford 1
Leek Town 0
Stourbridge 0
Kettering 2
Stalybridge 1
Nantwich 0
Buxton 5
King’s Lynn 4
FC Wisbech Town 1
Yaxley 3
Frickley 0
Ramsbottom Utd 3
AFC Mansfield 2
Hednesford 1
Pickering Town 5
Droylsden 4
Neots 1
Matlock 0
Barwell 4
Coalville Town 3
Lancaster 2
Marine 0
Clitheroe 1
Ossett United 2
Newcastle Town 5
Chasetown 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Workington 1
Marske United 2
Cleethorpes 0
Gainsborough 0
Tamworth 3
Halesowen 4
Grantham Town 0
Warrington Town 0
Prescot Cables 1
Alvechurch 1
Stratford 4
Redditch 0
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 1
Whitby 0
St Ives Town 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Farsley 4
Brighouse Town 1
Bedworth United 0
Carlton Town 1
South Shields 4
North Ferriby United 0
Bamber Bridge 0
Hyde 3
Brightlingsea 1
Canvey Island 0
Ramsgate 0
Hornchurch 6
Lewes 2
Ashford Town 1
Farnborough 2
Merthyr Town 3
Chipstead 2
Berkhamsted Town 1
Kingstonian 3
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 2
Sevenoaks 1
Whyteleafe 1
Tonbridge 2
Hendon 2
Staines 1
Harrow Borough 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 4
Wimborne 2
Lowestoft 0
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 3
Maldon & Tiptree 0
Bristol Manor Farm 2
Thame United 4
Horsham FC 3
Corinthian-Casuals 0
Margate 1
Potters 2
Brentwood 3
Whitstable Town 1
Frome Town 1
Poole Town 2
Herne Bay 2
FC Witham Town 1
Kings Langley 0
Needham Market 2
Leiston 3
VCD Athletic 1
Thatcham 1
Melksham 2
Salisbury 3
Fleet Town 0
East Grinstead Town 0
Merstham 2
Swindon Supermarine 1
Banbury 4
Hitchin 0
Hayes & Yeading 1
Metropolitan Police 3
Carshalton 4
Whitehawk 2
Harlow 3
Weymouth 3
Taunton Town 1
Cinderford Town 3
Street 6
Yate 1
Dorchester 3
Gosport Borough 1
AFC Totton 2
Aveley 1
Dunstable Town 0
Kempston 2
Beaconsfield Town 4
Burgess Hill 2
Worthing FC 3
Haringey Borough 3
Chesham 4
Walton Casuals 1
Molesey 0
Bracknell Town 4
Bognor Regis 5
Folkestone 5
Leatherhead 1
Didcot 5
Mangotsfield 3
Greenwich Borough 4
Mildenhall 2
Hythe 1
Stortford 2
Hartley Wintney 2
Tiverton 6
Sittingbourne 1
Wingate & Finchley 2
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Final
Basford Utd. 4
Stafford 0
Stamford 1
Kettering 0
Stalybridge 2
Buxton 1
Yaxley 3
Ramsbottom Utd 7
AFC Mansfield 2
Pickering Town 4
Neots 0
Barwell 1
Lancaster 1
Ossett United 0
Newcastle Town 2
Workington 7
Marske United 2
Tamworth 0
Halesowen 3
Prescot Cables 2
Stratford 2
Mickleover 1
Witton Albion 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 0
Farsley 4
Carlton Town 0
South Shields 2
Hyde 1
Brightlingsea 2
Hornchurch 1
Lewes 2
Merthyr Town 0
Chipstead 2
Bedford 4
Dorking Wanderers 1
Tonbridge 0
Hendon 1
Biggleswade Town 2
Basingstoke 2
Enfield Town 1
Royston Town 5
Thame United 2
Horsham FC 1
Potters 0
Brentwood 3
Poole Town 6
Herne Bay 0
Needham Market 1
Leiston 2
Melksham 1
Salisbury 2
Merstham 0
Banbury 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Carshalton 3
Harlow 1
Weymouth 3
Street 2
Dorchester 3
AFC Totton 1
Aveley 1
Beaconsfield Town 2
Worthing FC 1
Chesham 0
Walton Casuals 2
Bognor Regis 0
Folkestone 3
Didcot 0
Greenwich Borough 1
Stortford 0
Tiverton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
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