Sport Picks
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Australia
SA State League 
Match Events
88'
88'
Jatta S.
90'
90'
Carmichael S.
AI Match Summary
The SA State League game between The Cove FC and Adelaide Croatia Raiders finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Adelaide Croatia Raiders carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Adelaide Croatia Raiders's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | The Cove FC | Adelaide Croatia Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 1 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 3.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 3.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 16, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
The Cove FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Carmichael S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Compare
Top Goalscorer Jatta S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
The Cove FC 10 / 100
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
The Cove FC Adelaide Croatia Raiders
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ADE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
The Cove FC scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Adelaide Croatia Raiders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: The Cove FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
The Cove FC VS Adelaide Croatia Raiders
1 Goals Scored 3.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
The Cove FC
(Home) 18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2 The Cove FC
14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5 Adelaide Utd
07 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0 Modbury Jets
04 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0 Adelaide Atletico
27 Jun
Salisbury United
0 : 4 The Cove FC
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14 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 5 Adelaide Utd
07 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0 Modbury Jets
04 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 0 Adelaide Atletico
30 May
The Cove FC
1 : 3 Blue Eagles
16 May
The Cove FC
1 : 1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
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Adelaide Croatia Raiders
(Away) 18 Jul
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 0 Eastern United
04 Jul
Cumberland United
1 : 2 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
27 Jun
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
7 : 0 Adelaide Cobras
20 Jun
Adelaide Atletico
1 : 3 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
13 Jun
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
3 : 2 South Adelaide
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04 Jul
Cumberland United
1 : 2 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
20 Jun
Adelaide Atletico
1 : 3 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
06 Jun
Salisbury United
4 : 3 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
16 May
The Cove FC
1 : 1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
02 May
Fulham United
4 : 2 Adelaide Croatia Raiders
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 49:23 | 37 |
| 2 | Adelaide Olympic | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33:23 | 34 |
| 3 | Fulham United | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 38:27 | 33 |
| 4 | Modbury Jets | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 34:18 | 32 |
| 5 | Blue Eagles | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 31:25 | 31 |
| 6 | Adelaide Atletico | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33:25 | 30 |
| 7 | Cumberland United | 18 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 32:24 | 28 |
| 8 | The Cove FC | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 26:26 | 26 |
| 9 | Adelaide Cobras | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 21:37 | 17 |
| 10 | Eastern United | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18:36 | 16 |
| 11 | South Adelaide | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 19:49 | 12 |
| 12 | Salisbury United | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 21:42 | 11 |
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)