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The Cove FC vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

88' Event
Jatta S.
90' Event
Carmichael S.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between The Cove FC and Adelaide Croatia Raiders finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

5%
The Cove FC
15%
Draws
80%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Croatia Raiders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Adelaide Croatia Raiders carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Adelaide Croatia Raiders's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 10%
Adelaide Croatia Raiders Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Cove FC Adelaide Croatia Raiders
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.53 2.42
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 7, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Croatia Raiders vs The Cove FC
4:2
May 16, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Adelaide Croatia Raiders
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Cove FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmichael S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Adelaide Croatia Raiders Compare

Top Goalscorer Jatta S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Cove FC 10 / 100
Adelaide Croatia Raiders 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Cove FC Adelaide Croatia Raiders

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Adelaide Croatia Raiders Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

The Cove FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Adelaide Croatia Raiders's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Solid form: The Cove FC remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

The Cove FC VS Adelaide Croatia Raiders
0.75 Goals Scored 2.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

The Cove FC

(Home)
15 Aug
The Cove FC
1 : 3
Fulham United
07 Aug
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 2
The Cove FC
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
The Cove FC
0 : 1
Adelaide Cobras
18 Jul
South Adelaide
2 : 2
The Cove FC
Page 1 of 6

Adelaide Croatia Raiders

(Away)
12 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 1
Modbury Jets
05 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
29 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 3
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
15 Aug
Adelaide Olympic
0 : 1
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
07 Aug
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 2
The Cove FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)