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The Cove FC vs Blue Eagles

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cooksley J.
8' Event
Isla Cacciavillani D.
20' Event
Didero O.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between The Cove FC and Blue Eagles finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Blue Eagles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
The Cove FC
22%
Draws
60%
Blue Eagles
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Blue Eagles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Blue Eagles's 2 goals per match outpaces what The Cove FC have produced (1).
  • Model gives Blue Eagles a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
The Cove FC Clean Sheet 14%
Blue Eagles Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric The Cove FC Blue Eagles
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 12
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Blue Eagles
1:3
Mar 2, 2026 SA State League
Blue Eagles vs The Cove FC
1:1
Jun 28, 2025 SA State League
The Cove FC vs Blue Eagles
1:0
Apr 5, 2025 SA State League
Blue Eagles vs The Cove FC
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

The Cove FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Carmichael S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Blue Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Cooksley J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Isla Cacciavillani D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

The Cove FC 19 / 100
Blue Eagles 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
The Cove FC Blue Eagles

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Blue Eagles let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

The Cove FC scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

The Cove FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

The Cove FC VS Blue Eagles
1 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders17111546:2334
2Fulham United17103437:2433
3Adelaide Olympic17101632:2331
4Adelaide Atletico1793533:2430
5Blue Eagles1793531:2530
6Modbury Jets1785431:1629
7Cumberland United1781829:2325
8The Cove FC1774624:2425
9Eastern United1744918:3316
10Adelaide Cobras17511121:3716
11Salisbury United17321219:3911
12South Adelaide17321217:4711